NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	5.7 [646]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): +24.9%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.8 [700]		LVP	Markieff Morris (LAL): -8.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	11	87%	0.31	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.00	0.03	23	64%	0.21	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	13	70%	0.21	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.05	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	23	62%	0.23	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	11	70%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	9	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.09	24	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	32.7	15.8	27.5	3.3	30.6	139.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.4%

HOU -4.3%

LAL +26.0%

HOU -5.8%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	14.2	123.1	110.9	109.6
season	14.2	13.4		111.8	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	15.3	18.5	16.6	16.8
HOU	16.4	13.0	15.1	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	3	4	16.6	17.0	-0.32	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Kyle Kuzma	43	45	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	3	4	17.8	15.8	1.98	15.2	14.3	0.90
LeBron James	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	16.3	18.5	-2.16	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Alex Caruso	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	3	4	16.0	17.6	-1.58	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Markieff Morris	46	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	16.6	17.0	-0.37	15.2	14.3	0.90
Anthony Davis	73	74	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	16.8	16.4	0.40	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	16.6	17.0	-0.43	14.7	14.7	0.08
Danny Green	40	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	17.8	16.0	1.79	15.4	14.2	1.17
JaVale McGee	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	9	-8	16.7	16.8	-0.09	15.0	14.7	0.32
JR Smith	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	10	-10	17.0	16.8	0.25	14.0	14.8	-0.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	18	16	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-15	20	16.6	14.3	2.35	20.9	15.9	5.06
Ben McLemore	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	16.4	14.3	2.15	17.3	16.6	0.62
P.J. Tucker	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-3	-4	15.1	13.5	1.65	17.6	14.1	3.47
James Harden	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.8	14.5	0.31	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Jeff Green	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-5	0	14.6	15.0	-0.39	17.0	16.2	0.86
Eric Gordon	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	14.4	15.9	-1.48	16.1	19.3	-3.15
Robert Covington	71	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	3	-16	14.4	15.8	-1.42	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Russell Westbrook	72	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	4	-18	14.1	17.0	-2.92	16.0	19.5	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.29,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	95.3%
CHI 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIA 81, ORL 59	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%