NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	5.0 [833]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (WAS): +11.4%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	1.0 [1134]		LVP	R.J. Hampton (ORL): -9.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Admiral Schofield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	16	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	14	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	47%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
R.J. Hampton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	8	76%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	73%	0.14	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	14	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.0	25.0	14.8	26.0	2.0	33.0	125.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.2%

WAS +0.6%

ORL -8.5%

ORL -0.7%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	14.5	112.8	119.1	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		103.4	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.1	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.1	13.9	14.3	14.4	14.9
WAS	12.9	17.4	17.0	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-8	10	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.8	15.7	0.10
Terrence Ross	66	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-17	28	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.5	13.8	2.71
Moritz Wagner	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	14.6	15.0	-0.38	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Robin Lopez	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	15.3	14.2	1.11	16.4	14.4	2.00
Admiral Schofield	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-3	0	15.4	14.6	0.81	16.8	15.0	1.81
Chuma Okeke	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	4	-14	15.1	14.8	0.27	15.1	16.6	-1.53
Cole Anthony	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	1	-8	14.8	15.2	-0.32	15.7	15.7	0.02
Gary Harris	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	4	-14	14.5	16.0	-1.43	15.7	15.5	0.21
Franz Wagner	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	6	-18	15.2	14.4	0.84	14.6	18.2	-3.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	62	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-6	18	15.2	16.7	-1.56	15.6	13.5	2.07
Kyle Kuzma	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	15.8	15.2	0.59	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Corey Kispert	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	0	6	16.6	14.4	2.19	15.7	13.9	1.74
Montrezl Harrell	40	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	15.3	15.9	-0.59	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	62	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	16.1	14.8	1.29	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Deni Avdija	36	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	2	2	14.6	16.4	-1.80	15.6	14.5	1.02
Daniel Gafford	33	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-1	8	14.9	16.1	-1.25	15.3	14.8	0.57
Rui Hachimura	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	5	-4	15.0	16.0	-1.02	13.4	15.5	-2.16
Raul Neto	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	9	-12	16.1	15.4	0.67	14.1	15.6	-1.43
Davis Bertans	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	6	-6	15.2	15.8	-0.59	15.8	14.6	1.22
Thomas Bryant	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	12	-18	17.6	15.1	2.48	15.7	14.7	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
WAS 80, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%