inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 80 Excitement3.9 [1025] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +5.0%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback1.0 [1262] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -18.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.000.06467%0.011-0.0210100%0.03
Calvin Booth-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04729%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00943%-0.001-0.02540%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.06831%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021339%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02327%-0.031-0.03520%-0.04
Gilbert Arenas-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.17-0.03-0.042038%-0.095-0.06580%0.02
Caron Butler-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.02-0.001926%-0.122-0.0600%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00580%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.021168%0.115-0.07683%0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03664%0.0420.002100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.06940%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.001651%0.063-0.06367%-0.01
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05542%0.023-0.03250%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00342%0.001-0.02683%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.060.000.021252%0.015-0.081100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.329.315.530.21.833.0137.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +53.1%
SAS +2.1%
SAS +2.6%
WAS -5.6%
WAS -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSASNBAWASSASNBA
this game14.414.615.482.592.1104.5
season14.816.2107.8107.5
opponent15.415.398.9108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.816.213.012.214.4
SAS13.215.115.215.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas23220.03-0.530.56-0.3513-263913.514.7-1.2116.214.22.02
Roger Mason Jr.880.00-0.500.50-0.217-202710.414.8-4.4311.714.9-3.14
Calvin Booth2122-0.03-0.470.44-0.247-202713.214.8-1.6012.715.2-2.51
Jarvis Hayes2326-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-151714.614.40.1613.715.0-1.28
Andray Blatche2933-0.08-0.420.35-0.287-202712.815.1-2.3514.914.50.39
Donell Taylor2731-0.10-0.400.30-0.286-192513.314.9-1.5414.614.7-0.04
Antonio Daniels3740-0.11-0.390.29-0.203-161914.214.6-0.3215.913.82.08
DeShawn Stevenson5253-0.39-0.11-0.290.28-2310-3315.213.61.6614.115.2-1.08
Gilbert Arenas7171-0.41-0.09-0.320.15-196-2514.813.61.1814.515.1-0.65
Antawn Jamison6769-0.41-0.09-0.330.17-207-2714.514.30.2114.714.50.26
Caron Butler7677-0.45-0.05-0.390.14-207-2715.211.73.4815.013.51.50
Brendan Haywood5153-0.49-0.01-0.490.33-2815-4315.213.61.5914.814.50.23

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen62620.52-0.020.54-0.3329-164513.816.0-2.2115.412.82.62
Tony Parker62620.51-0.010.51-0.3429-164513.915.9-2.0015.412.82.53
Tim Duncan61580.450.050.41-0.1320-72715.113.91.1916.012.13.96
Fabricio Oberto53520.400.100.30-0.1318-52313.815.6-1.7914.014.9-0.87
Manu Ginobili68640.400.100.29-0.0415-21715.612.72.9413.715.9-2.27
Brent Barry34320.180.32-0.150.29-417-2113.815.1-1.2815.314.01.30
Robert Horry45440.090.41-0.31-0.1176116.413.23.2114.714.20.48
Matt Bonner23210.070.43-0.350.01211-913.515.0-1.5113.414.7-1.36
Eric Williams880.000.50-0.500.21-720-2711.714.9-3.1410.414.8-4.43
Jacque Vaughn880.000.50-0.500.21-720-2711.714.9-3.1410.414.8-4.43
Beno Udrih3935-0.010.51-0.510.46-1629-4515.913.92.0012.815.4-2.53
Michael Finley4239-0.110.61-0.730.50-2134-5515.314.21.0613.615.0-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 64, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.1%
NJN 74, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
WAS 100, DEN 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.8%