NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Excitement	8.8 [165]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): +27.3%
Washington Wizards	122		Comeback	2.9 [656]		LVP	Raul Neto (WAS): -11.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.12,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	22	64%	0.31	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Darius Bazley	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.12	-0.01	7	87%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ty Jerome	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Josh Giddey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.05,0.05,0	0.07	-0.05	0.02	14	55%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.12	0.03	17	71%	0.31	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.23	0.01	13	55%	0.32	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.10	-0.01	15	59%	0.23	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	7	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	8	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	25.6	15.2	25.6	2.4	35.3	130.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +59.0%

OKC -3.1%

WAS +0.3%

OKC -6.4%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	14.5	119.2	123.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		103.2	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	14.6	13.2	14.8	14.3
WAS	15.2	13.1	13.5	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	31	30	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-5	6	15.1	13.9	1.19	13.3	15.4	-2.07
Aaron Wiggins	37	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	3	-10	14.3	14.3	-0.07	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Mike Muscala	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	13.9	14.4	-0.52	12.5	15.4	-2.86
Derrick Favors	24	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	1	-6	16.2	13.7	2.56	13.3	15.3	-1.95
Tre Mann	47	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	15.0	13.7	1.27	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	13.7	15.2	-1.55	16.2	12.8	3.46
Josh Giddey	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-2	0	14.5	13.7	0.79	15.1	13.8	1.31
Darius Bazley	61	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-6	8	14.4	14.2	0.25	14.8	14.7	0.09
Luguentz Dort	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	13.9	15.4	-1.51	15.5	13.0	2.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.53	-5	1	-6	13.7	16.0	-2.34	15.1	14.0	1.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	58	60	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-12	28	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.6	13.8	0.81
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-5	14	14.8	14.7	0.11	13.7	15.9	-2.24
Kyle Kuzma	71	71	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	15.3	13.5	1.73	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	15.7	13.3	2.46	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Montrezl Harrell	50	49	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	5	-6	14.5	15.1	-0.64	14.5	14.1	0.39
Deni Avdija	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	6	-8	13.3	15.7	-2.43	14.8	14.0	0.73
Rui Hachimura	32	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.22	-9	13	-22	14.3	15.0	-0.73	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Raul Neto	41	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	9	-14	13.8	15.4	-1.62	14.8	13.9	0.90
Daniel Gafford	48	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.26	4	0	4	15.1	14.5	0.63	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Davis Bertans	26	25	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.09	-8	12	-20	14.8	14.8	0.04	15.2	14.0	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.45,0.86,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.65,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	91.4%
POR 121, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.32,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.92,1	90.8%
LAC 88, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.86,1	90.8%