NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	121		Excitement	9.0 [129]		MVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): +22.5%
Sacramento Kings	125		Comeback	2.6 [566]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -31.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.08	0.03	17	72%	0.30	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Norman Powell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.03	16	65%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Nassir Little	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	10	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01	0.14	-0.11	0.04	18	62%	0.10	2	-0.11	16	94%	0.07
Robert Covington	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	20	32%	-0.15	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	11	57%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.15	0.03	15	61%	0.28	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.04
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	5	60%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	6	77%	0.20	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.04
Alex Len	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	13	70%	0.13	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	9	30%	-0.14	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	29.8	14.8	33.2	1.8	42.2	147.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +52.7%

POR -8.8%

SAC +15.0%

SAC +1.6%

POR -10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	14.5	119.8	119.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.0		106.9	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		114.4	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	11.8	15.1	14.9	16.9	14.6
SAC	14.9	12.1	12.9	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Smith Jr.	42	43	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-14	24	13.5	15.4	-1.83	14.2	12.8	1.43
Larry Nance Jr.	39	42	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-13	22	15.1	14.3	0.83	13.2	13.5	-0.33
Robert Covington	36	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	13.8	15.0	-1.18	12.9	13.6	-0.76
Tony Snell	11	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	12.3	14.9	-2.61	11.5	13.7	-2.11
Cody Zeller	22	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	1	-6	13.1	15.0	-1.86	12.9	13.5	-0.61
Jusuf Nurkic	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-3	2	14.6	14.6	0.05	13.8	12.7	1.06
Norman Powell	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.6	12.0	3.64	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Damian Lillard	86	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.4	15.7	-1.26	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Nassir Little	55	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-2	0	14.4	14.8	-0.39	14.1	12.5	1.58
CJ McCollum	74	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.21	-17	13	-30	15.4	12.3	3.09	13.1	14.2	-1.11

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Jones	39	37	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-2	8	13.3	13.5	-0.17	15.8	13.9	1.88
Buddy Hield	65	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	2	0	12.8	14.3	-1.51	14.9	14.2	0.70
Tyrese Haliburton	69	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	14.2	11.9	2.33	14.3	15.1	-0.71
Marvin Bagley III	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	5	-6	15.1	12.5	2.66	16.0	13.8	2.15
Davion Mitchell	66	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.52	-8	12	-20	14.0	12.3	1.72	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Alex Len	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	-11	26	13.1	13.5	-0.42	14.9	14.4	0.58
Maurice Harkless	56	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	-4	12	12.5	14.4	-1.95	14.2	15.0	-0.84
Harrison Barnes	66	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	12.9	14.2	-1.30	14.3	15.1	-0.86
De'Aaron Fox	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-1	6	12.7	14.3	-1.58	15.0	14.0	0.90
Tristan Thompson	27	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.21	-17	21	-38	13.9	13.2	0.72	12.3	15.4	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.32,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	93.1%
DEN 89, NOK 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	92.1%
IND 85, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	92.1%