NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	10.2 [61]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +51.3%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	17.7 [117]		LVP	Duane Washington Jr. (IND): -20.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.51	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,0.51	-0.04	0.56	0.01	24	47%	0.60	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.06
Coby White	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.22	0.08	0.01	11	89%	0.31	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	117%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Javonte Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.05,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	17	46%	0.12	4	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	16	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.00	14	67%	0.27	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keifer Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Hinton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.16,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.12	-0.04	22	53%	0.07	3	-0.12	7	57%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	56%	0.05	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	12	62%	0.09	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.01	14	27%	-0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	29.4	14.6	31.5	2.4	31.4	138.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +73.9%

CHI +0.4%

IND -50.3%

CHI +21.5%

CHI +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	14.5	106.9	103.9	110.8
season	14.5	14.4		110.9	111.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		115.0	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	15.6	13.3	14.6	14.2
IND	13.7	14.4	13.9	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	74	75	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.48	18	-16	34	13.9	15.1	-1.26	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Coby White	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.59	1	1	0	14.7	13.1	1.58	14.7	13.2	1.44
Nikola Vucevic	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	3	-4	14.6	13.3	1.27	15.2	12.0	3.23
Ayo Dosunmu	47	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.63	-8	10	-18	13.7	14.6	-0.83	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Zach LaVine	73	74	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	10	-18	14.7	12.7	1.99	14.9	12.3	2.57
Tyler Cook	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	-1	4	13.3	14.6	-1.27	12.0	15.2	-3.23
Matt Thomas	44	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.24	8	-6	14	13.7	14.5	-0.78	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Derrick Jones Jr.	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	13.4	14.6	-1.13	12.6	14.9	-2.29
Troy Brown Jr.	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.9	14.0	1.90	12.3	14.4	-2.03
Javonte Green	55	55	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.25	3	-1	4	14.1	14.2	-0.09	15.3	12.9	2.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Hinton	4	3	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-4	6	10.7	14.3	-3.58	12.0	14.3	-2.26
Goga Bitadze	10	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.8	14.1	0.68	12.4	14.4	-1.98
Duane Washington Jr.	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-2	2	14.0	14.6	-0.63	14.5	13.6	0.89
Keifer Sykes	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	15.3	13.9	1.44	14.7	14.0	0.71
Myles Turner	34	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	7	-16	15.2	13.7	1.53	15.4	13.5	1.95
Oshae Brissett	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	13.6	15.3	-1.62	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Caris LeVert	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	13.9	15.3	-1.44	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Torrey Craig	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-1	0	13.8	15.0	-1.23	13.4	15.9	-2.47
Domantas Sabonis	87	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-3	4	14.2	14.1	0.06	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Justin Holiday	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.46	-6	4	-10	14.9	12.5	2.35	14.6	13.2	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,0	90.5%
MEM 102, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.87,0	90.2%
NOH 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0	89.9%