NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	6.3 [574]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +17.0%
Golden State Warriors	86		Comeback	1.2 [341]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): -17.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	15	64%	0.18	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Davon Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Bones Hyland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Facundo Campazzo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	8	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	19	48%	0.06	8	-0.21	8	75%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.14	-0.04	16	59%	0.25	6	-0.08	7	86%	-0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.00	6	79%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Chiozza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	2	17%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	6	41%	-0.15	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.07
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.17	-0.17	0.01	-0.14	0.04	20	49%	-0.03	2	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	27.2	14.7	32.2	2.6	35.4	139.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -2.8%

DEN +8.7%

DEN +41.4%

DEN +2.4%

DEN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	14.5	95.7	91.5	110.8
season	14.8	14.2		113.4	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		106.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.9	17.9	16.5	19.3	16.5
GSW	15.9	15.7	13.5	12.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-3	9	16.6	16.3	0.29	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Will Barton	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	16.4	17.0	-0.59	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Facundo Campazzo	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	3	-3	17.0	15.8	1.18	14.3	14.2	0.17
Bones Hyland	45	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-8	19	16.2	16.9	-0.63	14.9	13.7	1.17
Jeff Green	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	5	-7	16.7	16.4	0.33	14.4	14.0	0.45
Austin Rivers	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	16.9	15.6	1.35	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Zeke Nnaji	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-2	7	16.4	16.7	-0.33	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Davon Reed	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	3	-3	15.8	17.0	-1.15	14.2	14.3	-0.06
JaMychal Green	24	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	6	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.29	14.9	14.0	0.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	34	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-11	19	13.4	14.8	-1.38	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Juan Toscano-Anderson	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	1	-5	15.0	13.6	1.34	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Chris Chiozza	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	4	-11	18.0	13.8	4.18	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Kevon Looney	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-9	15	14.3	14.2	0.04	16.3	16.8	-0.50
Nemanja Bjelica	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	3	-9	14.1	14.4	-0.25	16.3	16.7	-0.42
Andre Iguodala	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	6	-15	14.5	14.0	0.46	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Stephen Curry	80	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-8	13	13.7	17.2	-3.46	16.6	16.4	0.14
Gary Payton II	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	14.4	14.1	0.37	17.3	15.4	1.91
Andrew Wiggins	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	13.9	15.2	-1.31	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Otto Porter Jr.	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	4	-11	14.6	14.0	0.62	17.6	15.5	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.32,0.28,0	93.3%
BOS 97, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.16,0	93.2%
LAL 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.21,0.23,0.28,0	92.5%