NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	4.6 [887]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +18.2%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.0 [968]		LVP	Malik Rose (NYK): -9.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.04	28	62%	0.25	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	18%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	15	44%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,0.06,0.11,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.04	25	52%	-0.02	4	-0.05	10	70%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	17.6	26.2	2.5	36.7	140.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +64.5%

NYK -24.3%

NYK -14.7%

LAL +21.5%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.4	102.2	95.7	105.7
season	14.6	15.7		110.6	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	13.6	14.7	18.7	15.3
NYK	15.8	15.7	16.6	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	80	80	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-14	33	14.9	17.5	-2.56	16.3	11.4	4.92
Ronny Turiaf	31	30	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Jordan Farmar	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	16.9	14.1	2.77	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Andrew Bynum	73	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	3	-1	14.8	16.8	-2.03	15.7	14.8	0.94
Sasha Vujacic	33	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	7	-9	17.8	13.8	3.97	14.7	16.0	-1.34
Chris Mihm	20	19	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	2	1	16.8	14.8	2.03	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Vladimir Radmanovic	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	13.4	17.5	-4.09	16.7	14.2	2.50
Lamar Odom	54	57	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-1	7	15.5	14.9	0.58	16.5	14.1	2.45
Derek Fisher	55	57	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	14.1	16.9	-2.77	16.4	14.2	2.19
Trevor Ariza	25	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.28	-8	13	-21	15.3	15.2	0.08	11.3	17.2	-5.91
Javaris Crittenton	5	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	12	-19	20.4	15.0	5.43	13.7	15.7	-2.00

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.50	18	-23	41	14.3	16.2	-1.92	17.7	14.0	3.63
Jared Jeffries	48	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.58	17	-22	39	13.6	17.5	-3.88	17.5	12.9	4.60
Quentin Richardson	66	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-7	9	15.5	15.7	-0.30	15.9	13.8	2.09
Fred Jones	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	9	-23	17.2	14.8	2.41	12.4	16.5	-4.08
Eddy Curry	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	8	-21	16.2	15.0	1.17	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Zach Randolph	43	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	13	-31	17.0	14.3	2.64	12.5	17.5	-5.07
David Lee	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.3	-1.22	15.3	15.2	0.11
Nate Robinson	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	2	-9	15.5	15.5	0.01	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Jamal Crawford	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	15.9	13.4	2.44	15.2	15.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.21,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.32,0.28,0	94.3%
DET 90, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0	93.9%
WAS 98, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.03,0	93.9%