NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	5.2 [797]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +6.8%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	1.3 [351]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -16.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ignas Brazdeikis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Admiral Schofield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cole Anthony	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	14	45%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	16	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Franz Wagner	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.05	20	71%	0.18	5	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	14	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	15	32%	-0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	24.3	15.4	28.2	1.7	30.5	125.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.6%

ORL +13.9%

ORL +12.2%

ORL +8.4%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	14.5	101.0	96.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		103.4	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	15.3	15.3	14.6	14.5
TOR	15.2	12.8	15.3	12.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-7	20	14.5	14.6	-0.16	14.8	12.4	2.43
Gary Harris	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-2	10	14.2	15.0	-0.84	13.5	14.3	-0.78
R.J. Hampton	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	14.3	14.8	-0.56	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Franz Wagner	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	15.4	12.7	2.68	14.4	12.7	1.65
Robin Lopez	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	1	4	14.0	15.0	-1.00	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Chuma Okeke	61	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	14.7	14.3	0.33	14.6	12.6	2.06
Mo Bamba	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	7	-8	14.7	14.4	0.25	14.1	13.6	0.55
Cole Anthony	78	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	14.6	14.3	0.32	13.6	14.5	-0.93
Ignas Brazdeikis	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	7	-8	10.9	15.0	-4.11	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Admiral Schofield	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	4	-2	16.1	14.2	1.84	12.1	14.2	-2.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	4.0	13.9	-9.93	8.0	14.6	-6.60
Isaac Bonga	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	4.0	13.9	-9.93	8.0	14.6	-6.60
Dalano Banton	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-11	16	4.0	13.9	-9.93	17.0	14.5	2.51
Khem Birch	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	13.2	14.0	-0.81	14.0	14.7	-0.62
Yuta Watanabe	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-12	18	12.1	14.5	-2.35	14.6	14.5	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	13.3	14.1	-0.83	13.5	15.0	-1.51
Thaddeus Young	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	13.6	13.9	-0.32	15.6	14.1	1.50
Chris Boucher	42	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-3	0	13.6	14.0	-0.45	14.8	14.4	0.41
Pascal Siakam	86	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-4	2	13.8	13.8	0.04	15.0	11.7	3.37
Precious Achiuwa	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	2	-10	14.9	12.9	2.03	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Malachi Flynn	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	0	-6	13.9	13.4	0.57	14.8	13.6	1.17
Scottie Barnes	78	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	14.0	13.2	0.80	14.4	15.2	-0.88
Gary Trent Jr.	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.07	-12	6	-18	14.7	12.7	2.06	14.3	14.8	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAC 114, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%