NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	6.5 [540]		MVP	Nemanja Bjelica (GSW): +25.9%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.2 [740]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -7.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.10	0.00	5	117%	0.26	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton II	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.09	13	100%	0.07
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.02	0.08	13	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	19	55%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	15	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.13	21	65%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.0	30.2	16.4	31.5	3.5	27.3	139.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.8%

NYK -2.4%

GSW +17.6%

NYK -11.9%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	14.5	114.1	104.3	110.8
season	14.2	15.1		112.2	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.9		109.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	16.0	12.6	17.0	15.0
NYK	16.1	16.0	18.7	14.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-5	19	14.4	16.9	-2.49	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Kevon Looney	48	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	13.3	17.0	-3.68	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Jonathan Kuminga	19	17	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	2	5	14.2	15.3	-1.10	19.2	15.6	3.56
Draymond Green	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	1	7	14.1	17.1	-3.07	16.4	16.1	0.30
Jordan Poole	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	14.7	15.8	-1.08	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Gary Payton II	18	17	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	14.0	15.3	-1.28	19.2	15.6	3.56
Andre Iguodala	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	15.7	14.8	0.95	16.6	16.1	0.45
Andrew Wiggins	66	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	6	-3	14.5	16.3	-1.78	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Nemanja Bjelica	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	11	-13	17.6	13.8	3.76	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Damion Lee	31	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	13	-17	18.2	13.4	4.77	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Juan Toscano-Anderson	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	16	-23	18.6	13.8	4.86	14.7	16.8	-2.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	37	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-13	17	14.7	17.3	-2.58	17.5	13.3	4.25
Nerlens Noel	48	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-9	9	15.8	16.8	-0.96	14.2	16.0	-1.86
Immanuel Quickley	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-8	7	16.7	16.0	0.73	16.5	13.9	2.61
Kevin Knox II	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-9	9	15.2	17.0	-1.86	17.3	13.5	3.83
Mitchell Robinson	26	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	0	-9	18.7	15.3	3.43	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Derrick Rose	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	1	-11	16.7	15.1	1.64	14.1	17.6	-3.47
Julius Randle	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	0	-9	16.3	16.3	-0.06	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Alec Burks	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.7	18.9	-3.23	15.1	14.9	0.19
Evan Fournier	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	4	-17	17.2	14.7	2.47	13.4	17.6	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.9%
SAC 113, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.8%
HOU 102, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%