NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	5.6 [680]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +25.9%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	3.1 [216]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -9.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.09	0.02	17	77%	0.30	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Kenny Thomas	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	15	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Terence Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oscar Torres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	57%	0.16	7	-0.19	3	33%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	15	59%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.03	6	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	21	44%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.9	2.4	25.4	15.7	24.0	2.0	29.2	117.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.2%

HOU +5.1%

WAS -1.3%

WAS -15.6%

HOU +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.9	15.6	117.2	101.1	102.3
season	16.8	16.5		100.9	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.6	16.1	16.7	17.6	17.0
WAS	15.1	15.9	16.8	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.07	16	-3	19	17.1	16.4	0.70	15.6	18.4	-2.82
Kenny Thomas	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-3	19	17.2	16.0	1.17	16.5	11.2	5.30
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	1	11	16.8	21.2	-4.43	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Steve Francis	75	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-2	17	17.5	14.2	3.31	16.2	14.2	1.91
Kelvin Cato	54	53	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	0	13	17.4	16.5	0.87	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Eddie Griffin	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	15.6	18.0	-2.41	16.3	15.6	0.69
Oscar Torres	19	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.7	17.1	-0.37	15.7	16.0	-0.26
Terence Morris	15	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	20	-27	17.3	17.0	0.29	13.6	16.3	-2.68

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	18	17	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-19	25	15.6	16.0	-0.36	17.1	17.0	0.12
Christian Laettner	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-16	19	14.2	16.3	-2.18	15.0	17.5	-2.51
Jahidi White	35	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-14	15	16.3	15.6	0.69	16.9	17.1	-0.28
Courtney Alexander	26	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-13	13	12.6	17.3	-4.71	18.2	16.6	1.60
Brendan Haywood	13	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	13.8	16.3	-2.41	17.6	16.9	0.65
Hubert Davis	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	14.6	16.4	-1.76	18.4	16.4	1.94
Popeye Jones	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	16.9	14.0	2.88	17.5	16.2	1.34
Michael Jordan	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	16.5	14.1	2.35	17.6	15.5	2.10
Chris Whitney	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	1	-15	16.2	15.1	1.12	16.6	18.2	-1.69
Tyrone Nesby	49	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	1	-15	15.7	16.2	-0.51	15.9	18.5	-2.58
Richard Hamilton	69	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	2	-17	16.8	12.7	4.10	16.9	17.6	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIA 117, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
LAC 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%