NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	4.4 [899]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +13.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	1.7 [721]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Williams III	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Romeo Langford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Freedom	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.13	-0.03	0.13	22	69%	0.09	5	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Grant Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	7	35%	-0.06	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	19	75%	0.19	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	11	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	16	63%	0.12	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	39%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	28.5	16.4	34.6	2.8	28.3	139.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.2	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.6%

BOS -4.5%

LAL +13.4%

BOS -6.1%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	14.5	103.0	117.0	110.8
season	14.8	14.3		112.2	109.2
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	15.0	14.6	12.2	14.3
LAL	12.6	14.4	14.2	17.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	10.2	14.7	-4.52	18.6	14.2	4.36
Aaron Nesmith	27	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-19	23	11.4	15.3	-3.88	18.4	13.2	5.16
Payton Pritchard	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-16	17	12.2	14.9	-2.77	17.8	13.7	4.15
Enes Freedom	20	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-10	5	12.0	14.8	-2.77	15.7	14.5	1.27
Romeo Langford	37	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-8	1	13.9	14.5	-0.51	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Al Horford	60	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-19	23	14.0	14.6	-0.62	15.2	13.8	1.35
Josh Richardson	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	-2	-11	16.6	13.0	3.63	11.7	16.3	-4.61
Grant Williams	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.32	-21	6	-27	16.5	13.3	3.21	11.3	16.1	-4.78
Dennis Schroder	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-7	-1	14.6	13.7	0.90	13.8	16.4	-2.56
Marcus Smart	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-9	3	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.3	13.3	1.97
Jayson Tatum	67	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-7	-1	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.3	13.3	1.92
Robert Williams III	52	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	5	-25	15.4	13.0	2.48	13.7	15.8	-2.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	14.6	15.0	-0.43	14.5	13.5	0.95
Talen Horton-Tucker	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-1	17	14.7	14.7	0.03	14.5	13.7	0.72
Anthony Davis	74	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-2	19	14.1	16.2	-2.10	15.1	12.1	2.96
Russell Westbrook	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	14.5	15.2	-0.64	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Malik Monk	41	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	3	9	14.5	14.8	-0.33	14.8	13.9	0.94
Avery Bradley	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	11	-7	14.4	15.0	-0.55	14.8	13.7	1.16
Wayne Ellington	31	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	12	-9	13.6	15.2	-1.55	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Carmelo Anthony	45	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	13	-11	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Dwight Howard	26	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	17	-19	16.2	14.1	2.10	12.1	15.1	-2.96
Kent Bazemore	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.8	14.4	5.48	10.1	14.6	-4.43
Austin Reaves	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.8	14.4	5.48	10.1	14.6	-4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 95, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 94, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%