inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 95 Excitement3.6 [1136] MVPJason Richardson (ORL): +21.8%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback2.0 [1067] LVPKyle Lowry (HOU): -8.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.030.081566%0.121-0.021182%0.01
Patrick Patterson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.000.04786%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Chase Budinger-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.02850%-0.0000.004100%0.00
Ish Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.020.031056%0.011-0.03580%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.040.03683%0.072-0.0900%0.00
Brad Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.001146%-0.012-0.032100%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.01-0.0767%-0.051-0.00250%0.00
Jordan Hill-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01833%-0.052-0.032100%-0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.020.0030%-0.0800.0020%-0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.180.02-0.018112%0.221-0.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.03-0.001269%0.1500.002100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.11-0.010.101264%0.0100.001100%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.01-0.05558%0.064-0.052100%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.011250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01571%0.043-0.064100%0.03
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.02850%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.001252%0.014-0.061100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00940%-0.032-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.627.118.528.53.430.6137.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +40.8%
HOU -0.1%
ORL +8.7%
HOU -1.7%
ORL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUORLNBAHOUORLNBA
this game14.915.015.599.0113.4105.7
season15.215.2109.5106.3
opponent16.214.9101.1107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.815.616.014.014.9
ORL15.015.714.015.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries30310.02-0.520.53-0.135-202513.815.3-1.4814.815.1-0.27
Ish Smith1112-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-131112.715.1-2.4013.715.2-1.41
Terrence Williams4244-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-182114.615.0-0.3815.514.51.02
Patrick Patterson4344-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-171914.914.80.0515.514.51.02
Brad Miller2021-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-10515.714.61.1315.914.71.17
Courtney Lee4646-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-151515.214.50.7415.514.50.93
Chase Budinger5254-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-161714.215.6-1.4015.314.60.73
Shane Battier4443-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-161-1715.614.21.4014.615.3-0.73
Kyle Lowry4343-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-1-1315.014.80.2214.615.3-0.78
Jordan Hill4039-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-14-1-1315.614.31.3215.015.0-0.03
Luis Scola5655-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-161-1714.715.1-0.3814.515.6-1.11
Kevin Martin5353-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-194-2314.814.9-0.0514.515.5-1.02

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson56560.460.040.410.11123915.214.70.4914.814.9-0.08
Jameer Nelson49490.430.070.37-0.0617-21914.815.2-0.4715.314.31.01
Dwight Howard50520.400.100.29-0.0716-11715.414.50.8916.712.74.01
Hedo Turkoglu60590.390.110.27-0.051501515.414.40.9915.613.62.05
Brandon Bass51510.360.140.220.01123915.114.90.1915.414.21.15
JJ Redick54550.160.34-0.19-0.0578-114.415.7-1.2714.115.9-1.79
Ryan Anderson55530.130.37-0.240.04312-914.116.1-1.9913.316.8-3.55
Earl Clark38360.110.39-0.270.14-116-1715.614.60.9313.815.5-1.72
Gilbert Arenas48470.070.43-0.370.12-217-1915.214.80.4714.315.3-1.01
Chris Duhon12110.000.50-0.500.06-217-1914.815.0-0.1814.714.9-0.14
Quentin Richardson12110.000.50-0.500.06-217-1914.815.0-0.1814.714.9-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 83, CLE 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
HOU 81, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
WAS 90, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%