NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	3.6 [1060]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +8.1%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.9 [453]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -11.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.05	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tierre Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terence Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	3	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	8	70%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	47%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	10	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	21	62%	0.12	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	19	62%	0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	30.2	15.8	28.2	1.8	26.0	129.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.0%

HOU -1.8%

DEN +10.2%

DEN +5.2%

HOU -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	17.6	14.4	15.6	90.0	120.0	102.3
season	16.8	16.1		100.9	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.3	17.8	18.0	15.6	17.6
DEN	13.2	15.8	12.8	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-25	23	15.6	18.3	-2.78	15.7	13.9	1.84
Terence Morris	30	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.27	-11	-16	5	16.3	18.3	-2.00	14.7	14.2	0.47
Oscar Torres	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.28	-13	-14	1	16.6	18.3	-1.67	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Eddie Griffin	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-15	3	16.3	18.5	-2.17	15.5	13.5	1.99
Kelvin Cato	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-24	21	19.0	16.9	2.10	13.3	14.9	-1.56
Glen Rice	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-20	13	18.5	16.9	1.65	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Walt Williams	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.34	-21	-6	-15	16.9	18.6	-1.69	14.6	14.0	0.63
Kevin Willis	19	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-13	-1	17.7	17.6	0.06	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Cuttino Mobley	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-18	9	18.6	16.2	2.35	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Moochie Norris	35	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.29	-20	-7	-13	17.6	17.7	-0.10	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Steve Francis	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-17	7	18.2	17.1	1.16	14.0	14.7	-0.61
Kenny Thomas	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-14	1	18.7	16.3	2.43	13.9	15.0	-1.09

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	73	75	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	10	7	14.5	13.9	0.60	17.8	16.6	1.24
Isaiah Rider	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	8	11	13.6	15.7	-2.05	18.5	15.9	2.64
Raef LaFrentz	43	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	10	7	12.9	15.7	-2.84	19.3	15.9	3.40
James Posey	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.39	24	3	21	15.0	14.0	1.01	17.4	17.8	-0.45
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	12	3	14.1	14.7	-0.60	18.2	16.9	1.23
Ryan Bowen	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	11	5	14.4	14.3	0.05	17.1	18.0	-0.90
Avery Johnson	61	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.39	23	4	19	14.9	13.3	1.56	16.9	19.0	-2.04
Scott Williams	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	18	-9	15.9	13.8	2.10	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Zendon Hamilton	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.3	14.2	1.12	14.7	18.1	-3.42
Shawnelle Scott	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Voshon Lenard	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.7	17.9	-3.16
George McCloud	37	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	35	-43	13.8	14.7	-0.90	18.0	17.4	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 95, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 94, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%