NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	9.1 [128]		MVP	Patty Mills (BKN): +41.4%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	2.7 [733]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -24.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.03	14	63%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Bolmaro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	19	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Nathan Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
D'Angelo Russell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	22	42%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Edwards	-0.24	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	16	53%	0.01	8	-0.25	4	100%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.15	0.25	-0.01	15	70%	0.43	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	6	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.06,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.01	18	61%	0.18	5	-0.21	13	92%	0.03
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	11	54%	0.07	6	-0.20	15	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.0	38.1	14.6	31.3	2.3	29.5	146.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +52.8%

BKN +17.1%

MIN -11.5%

MIN -8.5%

BKN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.2	14.5	101.0	106.8	110.8
season	13.9	14.4		112.6	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.1	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	10.7	14.7	13.5	16.2	13.6
BKN	14.3	13.0	15.9	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Bolmaro	51	52	0.55	-1.05	1.60	-0.01	19	-24	43	13.4	13.8	-0.42	15.1	13.4	1.69
Nathan Knight	29	28	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-10	15	13.9	13.5	0.45	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Josh Okogie	41	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.22	-9	4	-13	14.5	13.0	1.46	13.1	14.9	-1.73
Taurean Prince	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	11.9	14.8	-2.86	15.3	13.4	1.93
Malik Beasley	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	14.8	11.9	2.86	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Jarred Vanderbilt	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-8	11	13.0	14.6	-1.57	15.0	12.9	2.09
D'Angelo Russell	76	76	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.26	-16	11	-27	13.7	13.4	0.29	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Naz Reid	75	75	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.44	-10	5	-15	13.5	13.9	-0.45	14.4	13.9	0.50
Anthony Edwards	80	79	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.46	-12	7	-19	13.7	13.3	0.41	14.2	14.2	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	75	77	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-10	25	13.3	16.7	-3.37	13.9	12.6	1.32
James Harden	75	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-5	15	14.3	14.0	0.36	13.9	12.6	1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	15.0	12.3	2.71	13.6	13.6	0.02
Kevin Durant	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	5	-5	14.3	13.8	0.58	13.0	15.8	-2.75
James Johnson	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.90	14.3	12.8	1.53
Jevon Carter	8	9	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.09	10	-5	15	8.1	14.7	-6.61	15.7	13.4	2.26
Cam Thomas	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	15.2	13.6	1.61	13.2	13.8	-0.56
Paul Millsap	24	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	11.4	15.1	-3.71	13.4	13.7	-0.22
DeAndre' Bembry	58	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	5	-5	15.9	12.1	3.79	13.4	13.8	-0.45
Nic Claxton	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	16.0	14.1	1.89	14.1	13.6	0.58
Bruce Brown	22	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	17	-29	13.7	14.4	-0.63	12.1	14.1	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	92.7%
WAS 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.92,1,1	91.8%
NOH 100, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	91.6%