NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	1.6 [602]		MVP	Evan Fournier (NYK): +24.7%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.1 [958]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL): -18.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.02	18	69%	0.31	6	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	14	36%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	17	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.05
Malik Monk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	14	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	8	0%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.02	14	81%	0.28	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.11	-0.04	9	70%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.04	11	55%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	17	48%	0.06	4	-0.08	8	62%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.8	36.4	16.5	27.5	3.4	34.3	146.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.1%

NYK +7.1%

LAL -0.3%

NYK +2.8%

LAL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	14.5	99.0	106.0	110.8
season	14.3	15.1		109.5	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.2		109.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	12.0	13.0	14.5	13.5
NYK	13.1	14.3	17.0	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	22	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	14.7	13.1	1.56	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Avery Bradley	64	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.29	5	-11	16	12.4	15.3	-2.93	15.9	14.0	1.92
DeAndre Jordan	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	2	-10	13.8	13.2	0.60	15.1	15.3	-0.14
Anthony Davis	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-15	24	12.7	15.5	-2.83	15.9	13.4	2.51
Malik Monk	66	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	13.6	13.3	0.27	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Russell Westbrook	78	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-6	6	12.9	15.4	-2.49	15.8	13.3	2.41
Wayne Ellington	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	1	-8	15.0	12.6	2.42	13.4	16.2	-2.83
Carmelo Anthony	57	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	3	-12	13.8	13.1	0.66	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Talen Horton-Tucker	58	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	11	-28	14.3	12.3	2.03	15.1	15.4	-0.32

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-3	12	14.8	15.6	-0.79	13.9	12.9	1.01
Obi Toppin	42	42	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-9	24	14.7	15.6	-0.84	15.7	11.9	3.81
Immanuel Quickley	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	15.5	15.0	0.54	14.2	12.9	1.24
Evan Fournier	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	15.4	13.7	1.65	13.3	14.3	-0.95
Julius Randle	71	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.0	0.23	13.5	13.3	0.17
Nerlens Noel	83	84	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	7	-8	15.7	13.0	2.65	12.7	17.1	-4.39
Quentin Grimes	10	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	0	6	10.6	15.7	-5.11	16.6	13.1	3.56
RJ Barrett	59	60	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.1	0.09	12.3	15.1	-2.75
Kemba Walker	50	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	15.4	15.0	0.44	12.5	14.4	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.76,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
TOR 91, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
DEN 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%