NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	119		Excitement	10.6 [52]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +66.1%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	72.0 [9]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -42.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.66	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.66	0.14	0.51	-0.01	19	60%	0.66	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	20	70%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.03	0.02	-0.08	30	43%	0.09	1	-0.02	14	79%	-0.00
John Konchar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.11	1	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.54,0.53	0.53	0.19	0.35	0.01	14	83%	0.57	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.06	0.01	10	88%	0.25	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	12	70%	0.23	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.43	-0.43	-0.12	-0.32	-0.00	20	39%	-0.31	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.3	15.5	27.2	2.6	37.5	137.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +15.7%

MEM +6.4%

MEM +2.1%

MEM +19.8%

MEM +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.5	117.8	119.2	110.8
season	14.1	14.8		112.9	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	16.4	12.9	14.7	14.5
UTA	14.4	12.4	14.8	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	72	70	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.53	15	-14	29	14.1	15.3	-1.20	14.7	13.4	1.31
Brandon Clarke	53	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.54	-1	2	-3	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.2	14.5	-0.22
Ja Morant	77	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	14.6	14.0	0.54	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	72	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	3	-5	14.9	13.4	1.41	14.3	14.5	-0.27
Ziaire Williams	61	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	9	-17	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Steven Adams	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	-3	7	14.0	14.9	-0.86	14.3	14.3	0.01
Tyus Jones	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.54	15.5	14.0	1.53
Kyle Anderson	51	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	-1	3	14.1	14.9	-0.80	14.4	14.3	0.02
John Konchar	43	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	7	-13	15.2	13.9	1.23	14.0	14.6	-0.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	48	49	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.13	7	-8	15	13.8	14.9	-1.11	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Rudy Gay	39	39	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-4	7	14.4	14.3	0.11	13.3	15.2	-1.83
Trent Forrest	3	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	16.3	14.3	2.05	14.5	14.5	0.05
Hassan Whiteside	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	10	-21	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Mike Conley	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.61	13	-14	27	14.3	14.4	-0.14	15.1	13.4	1.66
Rudy Gobert	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.60	10	-11	21	14.5	14.1	0.42	14.7	14.0	0.67
Royce O'Neale	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	3	-7	14.3	14.4	-0.11	15.2	13.3	1.83
Joe Ingles	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	5	-11	15.1	13.5	1.60	12.8	16.1	-3.26
Bojan Bogdanovic	60	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	3	-7	14.3	14.4	-0.11	15.2	13.3	1.83
Donovan Mitchell	73	75	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.52	-11	10	-21	14.2	14.8	-0.63	14.5	14.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.57,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.78,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,0	89.1%
BOS 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.84,0	88.8%
SAS 105, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.92,0	88.6%