NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	5.9 [660]		MVP	Gary Payton II (GSW): +16.4%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.4 [757]		LVP	Saddiq Bey (DET): -17.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton II	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.02	22	70%	0.20	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	19	55%	0.12	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.01
Chris Chiozza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	37%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damion Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.15	0.15	0.21	-0.04	0.02	15	75%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	68%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	53%	0.00	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	17	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	14	25%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	26.2	14.5	27.4	2.4	35.8	136.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.9%

DET -2.5%

GSW +21.3%

DET -14.7%

DET -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	14.5	114.1	109.7	110.8
season	14.2	14.6		112.2	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.9		112.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	16.4	15.4	15.7	15.7
DET	14.6	13.6	17.4	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton II	54	54	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-15	33	15.4	16.1	-0.69	17.4	12.6	4.77
Andrew Wiggins	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	15.9	15.3	0.59	16.4	12.6	3.81
Jordan Poole	72	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-15	33	15.5	16.4	-0.92	15.4	15.3	0.12
Juan Toscano-Anderson	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	15.3	17.1	-1.75	16.1	13.2	2.97
Kevon Looney	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-3	9	15.1	16.5	-1.38	16.8	13.8	2.92
Jonathan Kuminga	21	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	2	-1	16.3	15.6	0.72	13.2	16.1	-2.97
Nemanja Bjelica	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	6	-9	16.5	15.1	1.38	13.8	16.8	-2.92
Chris Chiozza	31	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.26	-13	16	-29	16.2	15.5	0.70	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Damion Lee	33	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	14	-25	16.3	15.4	0.85	12.0	17.3	-5.33
Moses Moody	17	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	12	-21	15.9	15.7	0.19	13.2	15.9	-2.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamidou Diallo	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	12.5	16.6	-4.07	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Frank Jackson	63	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.59	20	-23	43	14.8	16.7	-1.96	16.2	14.7	1.47
Trey Lyles	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-4	5	13.9	16.3	-2.31	15.9	15.6	0.28
Isaiah Stewart	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-1	-1	14.8	15.7	-0.90	16.4	15.4	0.95
Cory Joseph	58	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	8	-11	19	14.5	17.0	-2.51	16.3	14.9	1.41
Luka Garza	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	5	-13	19.4	14.7	4.65	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Killian Hayes	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	8	-19	17.0	14.5	2.51	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Cade Cunningham	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	16.4	12.7	3.68	15.7	15.7	0.01
Saddiq Bey	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	7	-17	16.1	13.2	2.97	15.8	15.6	0.20
Jerami Grant	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	8	-19	15.6	15.0	0.63	15.2	16.9	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	94.9%
IND 100, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 128, WAS 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0	94.1%