NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	8.3 [227]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +20.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	14.4 [171]		LVP	Nassir Little (POR): -22.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.32,0.15	0.13	-0.00	-0.01	20	71%	0.22	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Alex Caruso	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Javonte Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Bradley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	7	43%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.17	-0.07	-0.14	-0.04	19	48%	-0.09	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.3,0.2	0.20	-0.03	0.23	-0.00	18	51%	0.31	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.10
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	9	80%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.01	11	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	-0.00	13	64%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	14	32%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	7	33%	-0.15	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	28.5	14.5	27.5	2.7	34.1	134.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.8%

POR +20.7%

POR +19.5%

CHI -22.7%

POR +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.5	109.2	115.5	110.8
season	14.5	14.6		110.9	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		115.6	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	16.5	14.4	13.5	15.1
POR	16.0	13.5	13.8	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	41	42	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.0	0.16	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Coby White	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.2	-0.79	14.7	14.4	0.29
Alize Johnson	5	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	2	-9	13.4	15.1	-1.74	10.5	14.7	-4.16
Derrick Jones Jr.	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	14.1	15.7	-1.64	14.9	14.2	0.66
Alex Caruso	76	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-10	15	15.3	14.3	0.94	14.9	13.0	1.98
Tony Bradley	44	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.6	0.98	14.4	14.6	-0.22
DeMar DeRozan	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-11	17	15.2	14.7	0.45	14.8	13.7	1.09
Ayo Dosunmu	36	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	14.9	15.1	-0.17	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Zach LaVine	76	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	15.1	14.8	0.36	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Lonzo Ball	76	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	15.1	14.8	0.36	14.3	15.1	-0.84

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	81	82	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-10	25	14.3	15.6	-1.37	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Nassir Little	51	50	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	0	5	14.4	14.6	-0.24	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Norman Powell	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-6	17	14.5	14.4	0.16	15.1	15.0	0.12
Larry Nance Jr.	52	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-5	15	13.3	15.9	-2.62	14.8	15.3	-0.47
CJ McCollum	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	8	-11	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.4	13.8	1.51
Jusuf Nurkic	44	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	15.7	13.5	2.27	15.1	15.0	0.10
Tony Snell	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	9	-13	14.9	14.4	0.52	15.3	15.0	0.38
Cody Zeller	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	14.1	14.5	-0.39	15.1	15.0	0.10
Robert Covington	46	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	5	-5	14.6	14.4	0.24	16.0	14.1	1.98
Anfernee Simons	36	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.11	-2	7	-9	15.2	14.0	1.17	14.9	15.1	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.75,0.85,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.56,0.72,1	91.6%
PHX 91, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	90.7%
MIN 86, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.42,1	90.6%