inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 103 Excitement8.8 [166] MVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): +58.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback20.3 [49] LVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -36.3%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richaun Holmes0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.20.040.13-0.02980%0.274-0.072100%0.07
Buddy Hield0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.16,0.090.050.04-0.001258%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.050.10-0.050.001462%0.071-0.02667%-0.01
Chimezie Metu0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.011250%0.071-0.04475%0.00
Davion Mitchell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terence Davis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01625%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tristan Thompson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.08-0.02743%-0.012-0.1000%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.001331%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.150,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.15-0.00-0.19-0.041448%0.072-0.22580%0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.590.590.100.49-0.001856%0.611-0.03367%-0.01
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.06-0.00575%0.1300.002100%0.03
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.040.03883%0.141-0.03250%-0.01
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.00867%0.142-0.04250%-0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00470%0.0900.002100%0.01
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.02-0.02911%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.01844%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0258%-0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.22,-0.36-0.36-0.08-0.29-0.002444%-0.144-0.222100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.728.315.523.52.431.2127.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +47.4%
SAC -13.5%
SAC -2.1%
OKC +16.1%
OKC +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACOKCNBASACOKCNBA
this game14.614.314.5103.0106.1110.8
season14.014.4109.2103.2
opponent14.414.6111.2114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.211.817.815.914.6
OKC14.113.115.814.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chimezie Metu52520.35-0.851.200.147-91614.514.8-0.3313.814.8-1.00
Maurice Harkless15160.07-0.570.63-0.023-5816.514.32.2313.114.5-1.48
Tristan Thompson3231-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-42-615.914.11.8213.914.5-0.58
Terence Davis2121-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.06-75-1214.814.60.1512.914.7-1.77
Richaun Holmes6868-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-4614.115.9-1.8214.513.90.58
Davion Mitchell4142-0.28-0.22-0.060.16-1513-2816.113.62.5514.214.4-0.20
Tyrese Haliburton7571-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.452-4614.913.81.1213.915.3-1.42
De'Aaron Fox7373-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.502-4614.016.4-2.3715.012.32.76
Harrison Barnes7371-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1014.116.0-1.9114.813.01.87
Buddy Hield5050-0.570.07-0.64-0.601-3414.215.1-0.8414.614.00.68

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams38391.14-0.641.780.7613-112412.115.7-3.5215.614.01.60
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl60630.54-0.040.570.395-3814.613.80.8014.514.9-0.44
Darius Bazley68690.350.150.210.38-13-415.112.52.5513.916.2-2.25
Mike Muscala28270.350.150.190.147-51212.315.1-2.8113.215.2-1.94
Tre Mann38390.340.160.180.224-2613.514.8-1.3016.113.72.44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander70710.060.44-0.380.30-810-1815.411.63.7914.016.2-2.16
Derrick Favors27270.040.46-0.41-0.136-41014.014.4-0.4217.013.83.23
Josh Giddey56550.020.48-0.450.0202-213.115.9-2.8414.614.7-0.17
Ty Jerome1415-0.030.53-0.57-0.0611012.114.7-2.6013.114.9-1.85
Luguentz Dort6666-0.050.55-0.590.19-810-1815.412.13.3214.215.5-1.35
Aleksej Pokusevski3029-0.270.77-1.05-0.01-911-2016.113.52.5816.014.11.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 106, NOH 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,191.6%
MEM 88, NJN 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,191.6%
BOS 89, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,191.4%