NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	5.1 [810]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +6.0%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	1.9 [411]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -10.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	54%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Nassir Little	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	21	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Anfernee Simons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Christopher	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	14	51%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	15	26%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	30.6	13.8	25.9	2.4	29.4	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.8%

POR +7.0%

POR +10.4%

POR +1.0%

POR +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	14.5	104.0	92.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		106.9	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.5		115.7	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	10.2	14.8	18.3	14.2
HOU	14.2	17.1	14.0	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nassir Little	59	57	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-3	18	14.4	13.9	0.53	14.8	14.4	0.42
Anfernee Simons	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-8	28	14.4	14.1	0.32	14.7	14.5	0.22
Tony Snell	22	23	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-1	14	13.2	14.5	-1.23	16.0	14.2	1.81
Larry Nance Jr.	40	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	3	6	15.1	13.6	1.56	14.7	14.5	0.21
Jusuf Nurkic	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Damian Lillard	81	80	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	12	-12	14.4	13.2	1.27	14.1	16.7	-2.61
CJ McCollum	80	81	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	13.8	15.5	-1.70	15.1	12.7	2.38
Cody Zeller	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	11	-10	13.5	14.4	-0.88	13.2	14.9	-1.73
Robert Covington	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	15	-18	14.4	14.0	0.45	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Norman Powell	52	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	15	-18	13.4	15.1	-1.72	14.9	14.3	0.59

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	61	63	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	13.9	15.8	-1.94	14.8	13.2	1.59
D.J. Augustin	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-13	14	16.5	14.4	2.10	16.8	13.9	2.84
Daniel Theis	59	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-18	24	14.3	15.1	-0.83	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Josh Christopher	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-8	4	16.9	14.4	2.42	8.3	14.6	-6.23
Jae'Sean Tate	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-11	10	14.1	15.1	-1.04	14.7	13.6	1.09
Danuel House Jr.	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.9	13.9	1.05
Kenyon Martin Jr.	34	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-2	-8	13.6	15.1	-1.55	14.8	13.9	0.89
Christian Wood	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	14.8	14.0	0.84	13.5	16.7	-3.14
Eric Gordon	67	68	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	14.0	15.9	-1.98	14.4	13.8	0.51
Alperen Sengun	40	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	6	-24	15.2	14.2	1.02	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Jalen Green	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	6	-24	16.0	12.3	3.79	13.5	15.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAS 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 99, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%