NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	5.9 [664]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +16.9%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.2 [443]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -17.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	5	108%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	13	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	19	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	48%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	17	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	7	28%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	22	67%	0.22	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	82%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	22	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	18	32%	-0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	31.8	14.7	22.4	2.5	36.0	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.2%

CLE +11.2%

CLE +12.2%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	13.3	14.5	111.9	110.0	110.8
season	15.2	14.0		110.6	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	12.3	16.0	18.6	15.4
CHA	12.3	14.8	14.0	11.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	51	49	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.00	23	-20	43	14.0	16.7	-2.70	14.2	12.4	1.83
Jarrett Allen	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-9	21	15.4	15.3	0.11	12.9	14.3	-1.36
Evan Mobley	83	86	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	5	-7	15.5	14.6	0.93	13.1	14.3	-1.18
Lauri Markkanen	73	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	2	-1	16.1	13.5	2.55	13.2	13.4	-0.17
Collin Sexton	75	77	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	15.6	14.6	1.02	13.5	12.7	0.80
Cedi Osman	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	5	-7	14.5	16.1	-1.52	13.4	13.1	0.30
Darius Garland	74	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	12	-21	16.4	12.7	3.65	12.6	14.9	-2.30
Dean Wade	30	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.28	-8	11	-19	13.6	16.1	-2.53	14.1	12.9	1.16

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-5	7	14.9	13.1	1.81	11.9	15.8	-3.86
Mason Plumlee	53	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-16	29	13.3	13.2	0.11	16.5	14.1	2.45
LaMelo Ball	70	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.50	14	-17	31	13.1	13.7	-0.57	16.6	12.5	4.09
Gordon Hayward	59	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	2	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.58	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Miles Bridges	76	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	12.7	15.0	-2.22	16.5	12.4	4.10
Terry Rozier	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	13.2	13.6	-0.44	15.5	15.0	0.49
Ish Smith	23	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	13	-29	14.3	13.0	1.29	12.9	16.2	-3.32
Cody Martin	58	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	13.6	12.8	0.83	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Kelly Oubre Jr.	42	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	11	-25	14.0	12.7	1.26	13.6	16.8	-3.21
P.J. Washington	36	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	16	-35	12.8	13.5	-0.77	15.0	15.6	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.14,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 117, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
UTA 105, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%