NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	3.6 [1089]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +13.5%
Miami Heat	87		Comeback	1.1 [507]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (MIA): -7.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	13	88%	0.19	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	12	64%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	100%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	48%	0.02	2	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.06	7	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	4	69%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.15	0.01	0.17	19	71%	0.10	6	-0.11	21	76%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	13	35%	-0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	34.6	15.5	27.2	2.7	33.5	141.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.4%

MIA -1.1%

UTA +5.7%

MIA -8.6%

MIA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	18.0	14.8	15.1	120.7	97.8	104.2
season	16.2	16.0		103.8	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	19.4	17.4	20.1	18.0
MIA	14.7	15.8	16.1	12.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	70	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.27	25	-7	32	17.5	19.9	-2.38	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Dante Exum	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	3	12	16.7	19.4	-2.69	15.0	14.6	0.36
Rodney Hood	15	16	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	3	12	16.0	18.4	-2.38	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Enes Kanter	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	8	2	19.7	15.1	4.58	14.9	14.6	0.24
Derrick Favors	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	4	10	17.8	18.4	-0.65	15.0	14.3	0.67
Rudy Gobert	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	14	-10	17.7	18.1	-0.42	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Trevor Booker	24	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	10	-2	14.9	19.1	-4.21	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Joe Ingles	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	19	-20	17.3	18.3	-0.99	15.6	14.5	1.16
Trey Burke	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	11	-4	19.6	15.7	3.92	14.8	14.8	0.07
Alec Burks	54	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	25	-32	19.0	16.3	2.73	14.9	14.6	0.30

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	14.2	15.5	-1.34	19.6	16.1	3.44
Norris Cole	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-16	14	16.5	13.9	2.69	18.6	17.6	0.97
Shawne Williams	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-13	8	13.8	16.6	-2.85	18.3	17.5	0.79
James Ennis	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-16	14	15.5	14.2	1.37	17.4	18.4	-1.00
Dwyane Wade	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-13	8	15.3	13.7	1.59	18.9	16.0	2.85
Shabazz Napier	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-5	-8	13.7	15.3	-1.59	16.0	18.9	-2.85
Justin Hamilton	21	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	-5	-8	17.0	14.1	2.82	16.8	18.4	-1.60
Luol Deng	57	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	0	-18	14.6	15.2	-0.61	18.4	17.2	1.28
Mario Chalmers	60	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-3	-12	13.8	16.8	-3.01	17.7	18.4	-0.68
Udonis Haslem	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-2	-14	15.5	14.2	1.34	16.1	19.6	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ATL 116, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%