NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	3.6 [1068]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +12.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.0 [920]		LVP	Gary Trent (MIN): -5.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.00	30	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Devean George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	92%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.02	0.05	12	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	68%	0.10	3	-0.05	13	77%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	85%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	21	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	62%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	25.6	17.6	32.2	2.7	30.3	138.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.6%

LAL +4.9%

LAL +5.3%

MIN -2.5%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	13.9	15.5	125.8	106.5	101.6
season	15.4	14.9		105.0	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	15.9	15.9	20.0	17.2
MIN	16.3	14.8	11.8	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	86	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-3	25	17.2	17.3	-0.10	13.7	17.1	-3.48
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	1	17	17.4	14.0	3.41	13.9	14.8	-0.93
Derek Fisher	78	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.11	20	-1	21	17.4	16.1	1.26	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Robert Horry	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	2	15	17.0	17.5	-0.44	14.3	13.2	1.10
Devean George	51	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	6	7	17.5	16.9	0.61	14.1	13.7	0.35
Rick Fox	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	13	-7	16.9	17.5	-0.61	13.7	14.1	-0.35
Mark Madsen	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	17	-15	17.5	17.0	0.44	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Jannero Pargo	15	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	20	-21	16.1	17.4	-1.26	15.0	13.7	1.30
Kareem Rush	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	21	-23	14.9	17.5	-2.57	17.1	13.5	3.56
Brian Shaw	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	18.0	17.2	0.82	11.5	14.0	-2.48
Slava Medvedenko	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	20.0	17.2	2.84	0.0	13.9	-13.92

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-21	23	13.2	14.1	-0.82	17.7	17.1	0.60
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	11.5	14.0	-2.48	18.0	17.2	0.82
Joe Smith	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-16	13	13.4	14.1	-0.71	18.1	16.8	1.37
Gary Trent	24	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-17	15	13.3	14.1	-0.86	15.4	17.8	-2.40
Troy Hudson	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-12	5	13.4	14.8	-1.43	18.8	14.4	4.38
Marc Jackson	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-10	1	15.6	13.1	2.48	16.6	17.5	-0.83
Rasho Nesterovic	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-9	-1	13.1	15.6	-2.48	17.5	16.6	0.83
Rod Strickland	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	14.8	13.4	1.43	14.4	18.8	-4.38
Anthony Peeler	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-3	-13	15.4	12.7	2.70	17.6	16.9	0.71
Wally Szczerbiak	79	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	0	-19	13.6	16.2	-2.60	17.2	17.3	-0.16
Kevin Garnett	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	0	-19	14.1	11.4	2.67	17.1	20.0	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 109, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DET 93, PHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%