NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	3.9 [1010]		MVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): +9.8%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	4.3 [785]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	5	85%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	67%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dylan Windler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.13	0.04	-0.07	15	27%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	59%	0.03	6	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.00	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	74%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	33%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	20	54%	0.06	4	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.0	25.2	14.8	27.3	2.4	30.5	126.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.8%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +8.7%

PHX +15.5%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	12.6	14.5	89.3	98.1	110.8
season	15.2	14.2		110.6	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		107.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	16.9	15.6	15.0	15.4
PHX	11.0	13.7	11.5	14.4	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Denzel Valentine	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-14	19	12.7	15.8	-3.01	11.5	12.7	-1.25
Dylan Windler	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-16	23	14.4	15.9	-1.53	13.6	12.0	1.59
Lamar Stevens	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-12	15	13.0	15.8	-2.82	11.3	12.8	-1.43
Dean Wade	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-15	21	14.9	15.7	-0.81	13.6	11.9	1.75
Cedi Osman	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-12	15	15.2	15.7	-0.56	13.3	11.3	2.00
Kevin Love	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-5	1	15.8	15.1	0.66	11.7	13.1	-1.43
Lauri Markkanen	52	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	16.7	14.1	2.52	13.3	11.8	1.53
Ricky Rubio	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	1	-11	15.9	14.9	0.92	12.1	13.0	-0.95
Evan Mobley	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	15.8	15.1	0.78	12.5	12.6	-0.08
Darius Garland	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	15.8	14.7	1.07	13.2	11.4	1.88
Collin Sexton	45	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	6	-21	15.2	15.5	-0.29	11.4	13.3	-1.94
Jarrett Allen	52	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	13	-35	15.3	15.5	-0.28	11.2	13.9	-2.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	68	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-16	41	11.1	15.3	-4.23	15.4	15.4	0.08
Jae Crowder	71	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-8	25	12.7	12.3	0.35	15.6	15.1	0.50
Deandre Ayton	54	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.25	30	-21	51	11.1	14.2	-3.11	16.1	14.6	1.49
Chris Paul	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-9	27	12.6	12.3	0.31	15.6	14.7	0.86
Devin Booker	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	11.5	16.2	-4.72	14.7	17.6	-2.89
Cameron Johnson	51	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	13.3	11.8	1.47	15.8	15.0	0.78
Elfrid Payton	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	18	-27	12.3	12.6	-0.31	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Jalen Smith	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	14	-19	17.7	11.7	5.98	16.3	15.2	1.07
Landry Shamet	35	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.33	-16	25	-41	15.3	11.1	4.23	15.4	15.4	-0.08
JaVale McGee	38	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.47	-21	30	-51	13.7	11.9	1.75	14.6	15.9	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 88, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 95, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%