NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	11.6 [23]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +97.8%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	14.5 [143]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -30.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.7	0.04	0.67	0.02	7	58%	0.70	0	0.00	10	60%	0.64
Terance Mann	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.01	8	65%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2	0.10	0.13	0.03	23	63%	0.28	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.00	-0.03	16	63%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	45%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.03	19	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.98	0.98	0.26	0.71	-0.01	25	82%	1.11	6	-0.13	5	100%	0.10
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.00	8	55%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.01	5	53%	0.14	1	-0.04	9	22%	-0.17
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	0.02	-0.26	0.04	15	53%	-0.13	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.20	-0.12	-0.02	14	32%	-0.12	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.7	31.5	16.4	29.3	3.4	35.4	147.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.7%

LAC -56.1%

GSW +24.2%

LAC -49.0%

GSW +94.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.5	107.6	112.7	110.8
season	14.6	14.2		108.8	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.7	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	12.1	12.4	15.3	14.0
GSW	11.2	15.1	13.9	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	54	52	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.07	18	-20	38	13.3	14.7	-1.47	14.4	13.3	1.08
Amir Coffey	30	29	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.04	14	-16	30	12.9	14.4	-1.55	15.9	13.0	2.86
Justise Winslow	28	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-1	0	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.7	13.5	1.16
Eric Bledsoe	64	65	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.28	-9	7	-16	14.2	13.7	0.47	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Terance Mann	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.56	6	-8	14	13.7	14.7	-1.01	14.6	10.7	3.92
Reggie Jackson	88	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	7	-16	14.3	12.2	2.07	13.3	16.2	-2.88
Paul George	82	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.65	3	-5	8	13.5	15.7	-2.21	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Marcus Morris Sr.	56	54	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.44	-16	14	-30	15.1	12.7	2.32	12.9	15.0	-2.09
Ivica Zubac	42	38	-1.12	0.62	-1.75	-0.66	-16	14	-30	14.2	13.8	0.44	12.4	14.7	-2.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	31	35	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.71	11	-9	20	12.5	14.5	-1.97	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Andre Iguodala	51	51	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-12	26	13.3	14.4	-1.04	15.1	12.9	2.15
Andrew Wiggins	64	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.65	-5	7	-12	14.5	12.8	1.74	13.3	15.2	-1.88
Draymond Green	73	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.64	-7	9	-16	13.7	14.3	-0.64	13.2	16.0	-2.75
Stephen Curry	81	84	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	4	-6	13.6	14.7	-1.08	13.4	16.4	-3.07
Jordan Poole	53	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-7	16	13.2	14.5	-1.30	15.4	12.3	3.08
Otto Porter Jr.	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	-11	24	14.3	13.6	0.70	15.5	13.1	2.38
Moses Moody	8	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	11	-20	19.0	13.4	5.59	9.9	14.3	-4.41
Juan Toscano-Anderson	17	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	8	-14	13.3	14.0	-0.67	16.1	13.6	2.47
Nemanja Bjelica	33	35	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	13	-24	14.9	13.4	1.52	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Damion Lee	62	62	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.41	3	-1	4	14.0	13.6	0.42	14.1	13.8	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.23,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 124, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.43,0.42,1	88.6%
MIA 82, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.05,1	88.1%
MIA 79, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	88.1%