NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	9.5 [101]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +51.3%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	4.9 [329]		LVP	Josh Richardson (DAL): -12.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.08	0.25	-0.01	11	67%	0.37	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.02	-0.02	30	63%	0.24	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	20	57%	0.35	3	-0.19	11	91%	0.17
Daniel Gafford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	38%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.51	0.51	0.15	0.37	0.02	12	92%	0.72	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	4	87%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	23	54%	0.21	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	9	85%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	11	35%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	30.4	15.3	26.6	2.4	29.3	134.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +95.3%

WAS -53.5%

DAL +10.4%

WAS -4.0%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.6	14.4	125.3	125.0	111.3
season	13.3	15.0		109.9	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.1		112.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	11.8	13.8	15.5	13.3
DAL	13.2	15.3	18.9	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	40	40	0.44	-0.94	1.38	-0.06	17	-18	35	11.8	14.4	-2.61	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Raul Neto	60	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.34	12	-13	25	12.8	14.1	-1.23	16.4	14.3	2.16
Ish Smith	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	2	-5	13.8	12.9	0.88	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Alex Len	11	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	10	-21	15.7	13.0	2.69	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Chandler Hutchison	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	10	-21	13.5	13.3	0.17	12.4	16.3	-3.85
Davis Bertans	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-5	9	12.2	14.9	-2.77	14.3	17.4	-3.03
Daniel Gafford	48	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	6	-13	14.1	12.6	1.46	16.8	14.5	2.30
Bradley Beal	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-1	1	13.6	12.7	0.87	16.3	13.6	2.61
Rui Hachimura	54	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	14.4	12.1	2.24	16.6	14.4	2.21
Russell Westbrook	84	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	13.3	13.3	0.00	15.3	17.1	-1.74

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	82	81	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-5	11	15.4	16.4	-1.03	13.6	12.0	1.63
Dorian Finney-Smith	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.54	4	-3	7	15.4	16.4	-1.00	13.7	11.6	2.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-6	13	15.4	15.9	-0.53	13.8	12.8	1.00
Trey Burke	22	23	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-8	17	16.5	15.4	1.10	15.5	12.7	2.85
Dwight Powell	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	0	1	16.8	14.9	1.96	14.4	12.7	1.63
Willie Cauley-Stein	58	57	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	4	-7	14.9	16.5	-1.63	12.6	14.3	-1.61
Josh Richardson	50	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	7	-13	15.9	15.3	0.60	12.5	14.1	-1.53
Nicolo Melli	23	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	-1	3	16.1	15.5	0.63	12.7	13.5	-0.73
Maxi Kleber	57	59	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	7	-13	15.3	16.0	-0.70	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Jalen Brunson	32	32	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	10	-19	15.8	15.5	0.36	12.0	14.0	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.71,1	90.7%
MIA 79, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	89.8%
NOP 104, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.73,1	89.6%