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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 124 Excitement9.5 [101] MVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +51.3%
Dallas Mavericks 125 Comeback4.9 [329] LVPJosh Richardson (DAL): -12.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rui Hachimura0.340,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34,0.340.080.25-0.011167%0.372-0.03560%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.190.02-0.023063%0.242-0.02771%0.02
Bradley Beal0.170,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.170.070.100.002057%0.353-0.191191%0.17
Daniel Gafford0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.01575%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Raul Neto0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.01567%0.0800.002100%0.01
Robin Lopez0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00371%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Davis Bertans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.02538%0.0200.00367%-0.01
Chandler Hutchison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Len-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ish Smith-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.01837%-0.042-0.0600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.510.510.150.370.021292%0.723-0.2100%0.00
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.060.140.00487%0.2000.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.190.190.090.110.012354%0.211-0.021155%-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.07-0.001267%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.000.01985%0.151-0.012100%0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.04-0.02560%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.02569%0.0400.00683%0.02
Nicolo Melli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01175%0.0400.0020%-0.02
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.05-0.041135%-0.014-0.111100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.830.415.326.62.429.3134.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +95.3%
WAS -53.5%
DAL +10.4%
WAS -4.0%
DAL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game13.315.614.4125.3125.0111.3
season13.315.0109.9114.3
opponent14.414.1112.4112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.511.813.815.513.3
DAL13.215.318.915.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez40400.44-0.941.38-0.0617-183511.814.4-2.6115.215.9-0.71
Raul Neto60610.01-0.510.52-0.3412-132512.814.1-1.2316.414.32.16
Ish Smith4949-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-32-513.812.90.8815.315.9-0.62
Alex Len1110-0.18-0.320.150.15-1110-2115.713.02.6913.015.9-2.89
Chandler Hutchison1918-0.23-0.270.040.09-1110-2113.513.30.1712.416.3-3.85
Davis Bertans5758-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.384-5912.214.9-2.7714.317.4-3.03
Daniel Gafford4849-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.23-76-1314.112.61.4616.814.52.30
Bradley Beal7375-0.550.05-0.60-0.550-1113.612.70.8716.313.62.61
Rui Hachimura5456-0.590.09-0.67-0.50-32-514.412.12.2416.614.42.21
Russell Westbrook8484-0.590.09-0.67-0.50-32-513.313.30.0015.317.1-1.74

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luka Doncic82810.73-0.230.950.556-51115.416.4-1.0313.612.01.63
Dorian Finney-Smith84830.66-0.160.810.544-3715.416.4-1.0013.711.62.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.55560.64-0.140.780.437-61315.415.9-0.5313.812.81.00
Trey Burke22230.480.020.460.229-81716.515.41.1015.512.72.85
Dwight Powell37370.280.220.070.2510116.814.91.9614.412.71.63
Willie Cauley-Stein58570.150.35-0.190.24-34-714.916.5-1.6312.614.3-1.61
Josh Richardson50470.150.35-0.210.32-67-1315.915.30.6012.514.1-1.53
Nicolo Melli2320-0.070.57-0.63-0.132-1316.115.50.6312.713.5-0.73
Maxi Kleber5759-0.170.67-0.850.00-67-1315.316.0-0.7012.814.2-1.41
Jalen Brunson3232-0.350.85-1.19-0.08-910-1915.815.50.3612.014.0-1.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.43,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 89, ATL 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.71,190.7%
MIA 79, NJN 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,189.8%
NOP 104, OKC 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.73,189.6%