NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	8.3 [215]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): +52.9%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	6.6 [98]		LVP	Mychal Mulder (GSW): -12.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.01	21	67%	0.40	4	-0.14	9	89%	0.05
Jae Crowder	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.01	10	87%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.33,0.23,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.01	17	63%	0.25	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.26	0.30	0.03	24	75%	0.56	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.18	0.26	0.02	10	80%	0.42	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	6	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	65%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.09	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	22	42%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.0	29.6	13.8	30.0	1.6	33.3	131.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -0.5%

GSW +7.8%

GSW +33.9%

GSW +10.7%

PHX -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	14.4	122.1	132.6	111.3
season	14.7	13.5		115.3	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.8	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	15.2	14.4	17.1	15.1
GSW	14.9	16.1	15.0	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	11	11	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	17.4	14.8	2.59	16.2	15.7	0.50
Cameron Payne	47	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	13.7	16.4	-2.67	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Frank Kaminsky	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-7	8	15.3	15.0	0.36	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Mikal Bridges	78	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	14.4	18.2	-3.85	15.3	17.4	-2.12
Devin Booker	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	14.1	19.7	-5.55	15.9	15.1	0.72
Deandre Ayton	62	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	15.2	14.9	0.25	16.1	15.0	1.09
Jae Crowder	61	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	-1	-4	15.2	14.8	0.44	15.8	15.6	0.14
Chris Paul	60	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	4	-14	16.5	12.7	3.78	16.4	14.4	2.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	74	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-8	22	16.0	14.7	1.33	16.0	11.5	4.43
Juan Toscano-Anderson	59	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-3	12	15.2	16.7	-1.54	14.3	16.6	-2.24
Jordan Poole	36	38	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	16.4	15.3	1.11	17.0	13.8	3.21
Draymond Green	71	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	0	6	15.7	15.9	-0.15	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Stephen Curry	73	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	15.2	17.7	-2.52	13.9	19.8	-5.89
Kevon Looney	46	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	15.9	15.5	0.39	15.7	14.5	1.25
Mychal Mulder	39	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	15	-24	16.0	15.5	0.50	15.6	14.7	0.91
Kent Bazemore	62	61	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	12	-18	15.9	15.4	0.45	14.3	16.5	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	93.0%
DET 87, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.92,1	91.5%
MIA 77, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.83,1	91.5%