NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	6.9 [412]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +36.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.4 [858]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): -29.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.04	-0.04	9	68%	0.22	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	23	59%	0.17	3	-0.12	15	67%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29	-0.16	-0.13	0.00	11	18%	-0.19	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.26	0.13	0.03	18	84%	0.48	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	19	48%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	18	47%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	15%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	2.7	26.4	15.4	26.4	3.3	37.6	143.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.9%

POR +7.8%

LAL -7.1%

POR +13.1%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.4	103.1	106.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.9		108.6	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	16.5	16.6	13.3	14.9
POR	12.7	13.5	16.1	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	20	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-11	17	16.2	14.6	1.65	15.1	14.0	1.18
Andre Drummond	42	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-3	1	15.8	14.2	1.53	14.6	13.9	0.64
Ben McLemore	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-6	7	14.3	15.5	-1.12	13.5	14.9	-1.35
Kyle Kuzma	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	14.6	15.5	-0.83	14.7	13.2	1.50
Wesley Matthews	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	4	-13	15.2	14.7	0.57	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Marc Gasol	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	1	-7	15.0	14.8	0.13	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	14.8	15.0	-0.20	14.8	11.7	3.08
Alex Caruso	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.6	-1.02	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Anthony Davis	80	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	6	-17	14.7	15.5	-0.75	14.0	15.3	-1.30

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-3	11	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Robert Covington	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	14.3	13.8	0.51	14.6	16.0	-1.46
Norman Powell	80	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	14.1	14.6	-0.55	15.3	13.3	1.99
Enes Kanter	35	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-3	11	13.9	14.4	-0.45	15.6	14.5	1.07
CJ McCollum	81	79	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	6	-7	14.2	14.2	-0.00	15.0	14.5	0.51
Carmelo Anthony	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Anfernee Simons	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	2	1	14.3	14.1	0.22	15.4	14.5	0.91
Jusuf Nurkic	62	62	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	8	-11	14.9	13.2	1.70	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	3	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	4.3	14.5	-10.18	10.5	15.0	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
MEM 97, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
POR 102, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.98,1	92.9%