NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	9.6 [88]		MVP	Lonzo Ball (NOP): +43.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	108		Comeback	6.8 [212]		LVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): -20.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13	-0.09	0.20	-0.02	6	54%	0.27	6	-0.14	1	0%	-0.12
Andrew Wiggins	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	21	60%	0.23	1	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.07	-0.01	10	25%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.05,-0.13	0.09	-0.22	0.01	31	57%	0.08	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.01
Mychal Mulder	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	9	44%	-0.06	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.44	0.44	0.15	0.34	0.05	23	66%	0.54	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.00	11	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Nunnally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.09	4	50%	0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	17	55%	0.03	6	-0.24	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	24.9	14.7	28.3	1.8	33.4	129.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -11.9%

NOP +13.0%

NOP +14.1%

NOP +34.5%

NOP +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	14.4	98.1	104.9	111.3
season	13.5	14.0		109.9	112.4
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.5	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	14.0	14.7	14.3	14.0
NOP	12.7	13.1	13.5	15.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	27	28	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-5	5	14.7	13.8	0.91	13.4	13.8	-0.47
Juan Toscano-Anderson	56	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.8	0.44	13.7	13.7	0.01
Kevon Looney	71	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.6	0.59	13.9	13.4	0.48
Andrew Wiggins	86	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	14.2	13.1	1.08	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Mychal Mulder	60	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-11	17	13.9	14.0	-0.09	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Draymond Green	80	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	-1	-3	13.4	15.8	-2.43	13.8	13.4	0.37
Kent Bazemore	64	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	9	-23	13.7	14.4	-0.74	14.1	13.1	0.96
Stephen Curry	81	80	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	4	-13	14.1	13.7	0.37	13.6	14.1	-0.50

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	73	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-7	19	13.5	14.1	-0.57	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Zion Williamson	81	84	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-10	25	13.1	15.8	-2.64	13.9	14.5	-0.67
James Johnson	49	50	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-1	7	13.5	13.9	-0.40	14.6	13.5	1.13
Eric Bledsoe	73	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	14.0	12.9	1.17	13.4	15.4	-1.94
Jaxson Hayes	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	8	-11	15.0	12.6	2.40	14.8	13.3	1.47
Steven Adams	52	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	0	5	13.2	14.2	-1.06	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Kira Lewis Jr.	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	7	-9	13.9	13.7	0.18	14.7	13.9	0.79
Naji Marshall	51	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	13	-21	13.5	13.9	-0.45	14.4	13.6	0.74
Brandon Ingram	56	57	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	9	-13	13.6	13.8	-0.12	13.4	14.7	-1.40
James Nunnally	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	12	-19	14.9	13.4	1.44	14.9	13.8	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.55,0.28,0.43,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.84,1	91.7%
PHX 79, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.78,0.84,1	91.3%
POR 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,1	90.8%