NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	140		Excitement	9.4 [104]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +98.4%
Boston Celtics	143		Comeback	124.0 [26]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -8.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonnie Walker IV	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.38	0.23	0.30	0.15	12	92%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.01,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.10	-0.06	21	49%	0.36	2	-0.18	19	84%	0.21
Patty Mills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.01	0.05	-0.05	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.05	0.06	18	63%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jakob Poeltl	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04	0.09	-0.09	0.04	9	80%	0.10	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.7,0.98	0.98	0.39	0.73	0.13	37	66%	0.98	0	0.00	17	88%	0.07
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.20	0.04	9	89%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	4	37%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.08	-0.05	8	40%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.09
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	6	67%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.36,-0.5,-0.5,-0.08	-0.08	-0.18	0.08	-0.01	24	32%	0.09	4	-0.18	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	1.4	30.4	14.7	28.3	1.7	38.1	2.5	20.2	164.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +72.1%

SAS -38.3%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +9.0%

SAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.1	14.4	126.1	125.4	111.3
season	14.6	14.5		109.8	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.9	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	13.2	14.9	16.0	17.2	14.8	15.2
BOS	15.6	12.9	11.7	12.3	12.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	20	22	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.29	14	-17	31	10.5	16.3	-5.79	14.1	12.8	1.34
Patty Mills	48	52	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-3	3	14.0	16.2	-2.19	11.8	14.1	-2.29
Devin Vassell	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-6	9	15.2	15.2	-0.01	16.3	11.9	4.45
Keldon Johnson	82	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-5	7	15.3	15.2	0.05	13.0	13.2	-0.15
Rudy Gay	37	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	2	-7	15.4	15.2	0.16	12.4	13.4	-1.05
Jakob Poeltl	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.09	-17	14	-31	16.5	10.0	6.54	13.1	12.8	0.32
DeMar DeRozan	89	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-4	5	14.9	16.6	-1.68	13.1	12.9	0.23
Lonnie Walker IV	73	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.3	15.1	0.21	12.0	15.1	-3.12
Dejounte Murray	87	88	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.54	-6	3	-9	15.9	12.8	3.13	13.5	11.5	2.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	67	66	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-9	21	12.4	14.0	-1.68	15.3	15.2	0.04
Jayson Tatum	97	93	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-3	9	13.2	12.1	1.10	15.4	14.4	0.95
Marcus Smart	95	94	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	12.9	13.6	-0.63	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Tristan Thompson	65	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	4	-5	12.6	13.6	-1.02	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Jaylen Brown	93	92	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	12.9	13.6	-0.64	15.3	14.9	0.36
Payton Pritchard	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-6	15	12.8	13.1	-0.31	15.5	15.2	0.30
Robert Williams III	49	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	13.6	12.6	1.02	15.6	15.0	0.69
Tremont Waters	15	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	9	-15	12.9	13.1	-0.21	16.1	15.1	0.94
Evan Fournier	44	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.22	0	3	-3	14.3	12.3	2.02	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Grant Williams	38	38	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.38	-29	32	-61	15.1	12.1	3.00	14.2	15.8	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.42,1	87.5%
OKC 104, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0	86.1%
TOR 113, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.31,0.58,1	85.8%