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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Excitement7.9 [265] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +50.5%
Houston Rockets 101 Comeback3.2 [380] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -29.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.500,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.50.080.38-0.043056%0.564-0.061385%0.06
Derek Fisher0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.160.050.130.02664%0.1600.002100%0.05
Reggie Jackson0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.090.050.050.00678%0.143-0.046100%0.05
Serge Ibaka0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.090.050.050.011455%0.121-0.033100%0.01
DeAndre Liggins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01930%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.03-0.05721%-0.062-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.160.02-0.130.041146%-0.1600.004100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.330.330.100.280.061369%0.341-0.0100%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.090.09-0.010.09-0.011050%0.162-0.072100%0.02
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00357%0.0600.0010%-0.03
Omer Asik0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01183%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06617%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.07-0.040.071278%0.165-0.19367%-0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.011030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.3-0.300.01-0.280.022251%0.052-0.341567%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.33.533.318.726.33.542.4157.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU -23.1%
OKC +28.6%
HOU -0.7%
OKC +45.1%
OKC +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCHOUNBAOKCHOUNBA
this game16.513.715.4108.3106.3104.1
season14.814.2109.3107.9
opponent15.415.5105.0100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.715.316.118.016.5
HOU15.312.912.014.713.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka60600.51-0.010.530.5103-317.614.62.9314.013.10.89
Kevin Durant95940.490.010.490.4130316.422.0-5.5913.715.0-1.34
Reggie Jackson51490.390.110.280.65-912-2117.615.22.3912.814.7-1.90
Thabo Sefolosha83830.390.110.280.42-14-516.715.11.6114.011.72.20
Derek Fisher50500.390.110.27-0.0214-112514.418.7-4.2314.313.01.24
Kendrick Perkins29300.210.29-0.090.007-41118.915.43.5314.513.31.16
DeAndre Liggins13120.110.39-0.28-0.014-1515.116.7-1.6111.714.0-2.20
Kevin Martin63620.020.48-0.460.23-710-1715.917.5-1.5513.514.1-0.64
Nick Collison3635-0.010.51-0.53-0.134-1515.017.4-2.3913.313.9-0.57

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Beverley41430.20-0.700.89-0.079-122113.613.7-0.1618.115.12.98
Terrence Jones36360.15-0.650.79-0.1510-132313.613.7-0.1915.517.0-1.51
Aaron Brooks18190.03-0.530.56-0.239-122112.414.0-1.5916.216.5-0.39
Francisco Garcia6566-0.17-0.330.15-0.5814-173113.314.4-1.1115.917.6-1.69
Jeremy Lin3836-0.42-0.08-0.340.25-2320-4314.513.11.4216.316.6-0.31
James Harden8685-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.430-3313.911.32.5916.516.10.43
Chandler Parsons8789-0.600.10-0.70-0.45-52-713.219.1-5.9516.812.44.36
Carlos Delfino4546-0.610.11-0.71-0.14-1613-2914.612.91.6815.317.6-2.32
Omer Asik5960-0.650.15-0.79-0.26-1310-2313.713.60.1917.015.51.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 97, BOS 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.28,0.17,0.02,091.5%
BKN 99, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.28,089.1%
LAL 99, BKN 940.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.27,089.0%