NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	7.3 [364]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +46.2%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	554.6 [5]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -27.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	-0.01	0.25	-0.03	4	37%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.07	0.05	12	82%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.07
Jose Calderon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	5	57%	0.08	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	0.05	-0.10	-0.01	18	53%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	0.06	-0.24	0.02	20	59%	-0.08	5	-0.12	9	100%	0.04
Mike James	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.13,-0.22,-0.27	0.01	-0.30	-0.02	17	61%	-0.13	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.1,0.05,0.46	0.46	0.10	0.38	0.03	23	60%	0.81	3	-0.35	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.04	0.03	20	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.08	0.04	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.01	12	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	2	75%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	35.4	17.5	27.3	2.4	31.3	2.5	18.1	164.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +86.7%

TOR -29.3%

DAL +3.3%

TOR -12.1%

DAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	16.1	15.6	117.7	119.8	104.4
season	15.6	16.4		107.3	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	11.9	17.8	19.3	21.3	15.8	17.1
DAL	16.4	16.5	18.6	13.0	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-2	2	19.8	16.5	3.26	19.1	15.5	3.66
Eric Williams	25	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	1	-4	17.4	16.9	0.47	15.9	16.1	-0.26
Loren Woods	32	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-10	18	14.2	18.5	-4.20	16.7	15.8	0.93
Antonio Davis	25	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-2	2	15.7	17.5	-1.86	16.8	15.8	0.99
Charlie Villanueva	59	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-8	14	16.3	18.2	-1.85	16.3	15.7	0.56
Jose Calderon	48	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-4	6	18.7	15.4	3.31	15.7	16.5	-0.87
Matt Bonner	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	17	-36	18.6	16.1	2.55	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Chris Bosh	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.58	2	-4	6	17.2	16.6	0.54	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Mike James	73	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.61	3	-5	8	16.8	17.7	-0.90	16.1	16.1	-0.08
Morris Peterson	88	87	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	7	-16	16.9	18.7	-1.85	15.6	20.7	-5.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	55	55	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.34	17	-15	32	16.1	16.0	0.17	17.2	16.9	0.26
Darrell Armstrong	26	25	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-13	28	14.7	16.6	-1.89	20.8	15.7	5.01
Dirk Nowitzki	76	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-4	10	15.6	17.9	-2.31	17.6	14.8	2.73
Jason Terry	87	88	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	16.0	16.6	-0.53	17.2	15.7	1.42
Jerry Stackhouse	74	72	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-3	8	16.7	14.0	2.75	17.2	16.6	0.57
Keith Van Horn	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	-22	46	14.7	17.0	-2.24	18.9	15.8	3.15
Josh Powell	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	8	-14	21.4	15.8	5.62	11.2	17.4	-6.17
Devin Harris	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	5	-8	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Marquis Daniels	44	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	15	-28	15.9	16.2	-0.30	16.2	17.8	-1.61
DeSagana Diop	26	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.36	-24	26	-50	17.5	15.5	2.01	15.3	17.7	-2.39
Adrian Griffin	31	31	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.11	-17	19	-36	16.7	15.8	0.89	13.9	18.6	-4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.31,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	88.2%
LAL 123, CHI 129	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	88.0%
OKC 98, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.72,1	87.2%