NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	8.7 [176]		MVP	Juancho Hernangomez (MIN): +18.1%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	2.2 [527]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): -26.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juancho Hernangomez	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	12	69%	0.18	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.07
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	22	61%	0.32	5	-0.24	7	71%	-0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	17	38%	0.03	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
Naz Reid	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.09	-0.07	0.04	22	40%	-0.10	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	17	72%	0.21	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.22	2	-0.08	7	57%	-0.06
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.05	0.00	12	77%	0.20	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.08	0.04	12	36%	-0.09	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	25.2	14.8	29.7	1.7	40.3	139.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.3%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +22.6%

MIN +0.7%

HOU -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	13.5	13.4	14.4	106.5	100.0	111.3
season	14.1	14.1		108.7	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.0		113.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	12.9	13.9	11.7	13.5
HOU	14.0	12.0	13.8	14.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	49	51	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-10	27	12.8	14.1	-1.36	13.4	13.4	0.02
Juancho Hernangomez	63	63	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.27	16	-9	25	13.4	13.6	-0.17	13.6	13.1	0.53
Naz Reid	37	38	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-4	15	13.3	13.6	-0.37	12.6	13.9	-1.32
Jordan McLaughlin	41	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-6	19	14.1	13.2	0.95	14.0	13.0	1.01
Anthony Edwards	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	5	-3	13.1	14.3	-1.18	13.5	13.2	0.31
D'Angelo Russell	68	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	6	-5	12.5	15.3	-2.74	13.0	14.1	-1.17
Josh Okogie	38	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	10	-13	13.9	13.3	0.63	12.6	13.9	-1.24
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	69	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	11	-15	13.6	13.3	0.37	13.9	12.6	1.32
Ricky Rubio	37	37	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	15	-23	15.1	12.7	2.48	13.8	13.2	0.58
Jaden McDaniels	58	56	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	17	-27	14.1	12.8	1.36	13.4	13.4	-0.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	12.9	13.8	-0.82	13.9	13.2	0.70
Kelly Olynyk	73	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-9	11	13.2	13.9	-0.79	14.1	12.3	1.83
Kevin Porter Jr.	77	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-7	7	13.7	12.7	1.02	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Avery Bradley	58	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-7	7	13.5	13.3	0.18	13.5	13.5	0.03
Jae'Sean Tate	89	89	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-7	7	13.2	14.3	-1.12	13.5	13.7	-0.18
Christian Wood	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-4	1	13.5	12.9	0.62	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Armoni Brooks	25	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	2	-11	13.8	13.3	0.52	14.5	13.2	1.32
D.J. Wilson	33	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	12.9	13.6	-0.76	13.0	13.8	-0.75
Kenyon Martin Jr.	50	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.13	-19	12	-31	13.9	12.9	0.97	12.4	14.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.28,0.33,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.1,0	92.0%
DET 93, MIL 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,0	91.1%
GSW 86, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.42,0	91.0%