NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	6.9 [407]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +30.6%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	4.7 [308]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -3.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.15	0.00	12	81%	0.34	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.02	11	44%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	12	77%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	85%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	60%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	26	57%	0.15	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.03	18	58%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	73%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.05	0.04	11	74%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	17	47%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.0	23.7	15.7	23.7	2.4	26.4	123.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.8%

PHX +16.1%

PHX +9.3%

NYK -12.0%

NYK -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	14.4	125.5	117.0	111.3
season	14.7	15.2		115.3	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		107.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.7	14.3	13.6	18.0	15.5
NYK	16.0	13.4	15.2	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-2	12	16.2	14.1	2.10	15.3	14.7	0.67
Mikal Bridges	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	3	2	15.5	15.9	-0.47	14.7	17.6	-2.90
Devin Booker	78	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	1	6	15.7	14.7	0.93	15.4	13.6	1.81
Cameron Johnson	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	15.8	15.0	0.82	14.3	16.5	-2.12
Deandre Ayton	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	8	-8	16.3	13.6	2.69	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Frank Kaminsky	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	0	8	13.6	16.3	-2.69	16.3	14.7	1.60
Torrey Craig	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	15.0	15.8	-0.82	16.5	14.3	2.12
Jevon Carter	25	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.2	15.1	0.07
Cameron Payne	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.15	2	6	-4	13.9	16.4	-2.48	15.0	15.2	-0.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	28	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-14	20	16.5	14.5	1.92	15.5	15.5	0.02
Obi Toppin	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-9	10	13.6	15.5	-1.93	15.3	15.6	-0.24
Immanuel Quickley	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	14.6	15.6	-1.03	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Taj Gibson	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-2	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.94	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Nerlens Noel	54	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.5	14.6	0.94	16.2	14.7	1.46
RJ Barrett	90	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	15.0	17.2	-2.23	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Julius Randle	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.5	13.6	1.93	15.6	15.3	0.24
Derrick Rose	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	6	-20	14.5	16.5	-1.92	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	54	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	-1	-6	15.7	14.3	1.42	16.2	14.5	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.1,0.19,0.05,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,0	93.1%
MIN 78, IND 71	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.03,0	92.2%
DEN 99, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.02,0.03,0.03,0	92.0%