NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	78		Excitement	6.6 [516]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +13.3%
Indiana Pacers	71		Comeback	4.9 [138]		LVP	Jeff Foster (IND): -14.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	26	55%	0.22	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Justin Reed	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	8	19%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	37%	0.04	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.01	17	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	10	55%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	14%	-0.09
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	10	45%	0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.08	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	27.2	16.4	27.5	2.4	37.5	139.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.9%

MIN +1.5%

MIN +14.8%

MIN +4.7%

MIN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.4	88.6	78.0	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		101.9	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	17.7	16.6	18.8	17.2
IND	12.9	15.9	17.7	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	61	64	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-12	31	17.0	17.7	-0.74	15.9	13.0	2.93
Kevin Garnett	70	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-2	11	16.7	19.0	-2.27	15.5	13.1	2.42
Randy Foye	42	45	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-3	13	18.3	16.2	2.04	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Craig Smith	37	38	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-5	17	17.9	16.6	1.30	16.5	14.0	2.49
Ricky Davis	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	9	-11	17.1	17.3	-0.11	14.5	15.7	-1.16
Troy Hudson	48	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-7	21	16.7	17.8	-1.11	16.1	13.7	2.40
Mark Blount	50	54	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	12	-17	16.8	17.7	-0.96	13.8	16.9	-3.11
Justin Reed	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	11	-15	16.6	17.6	-0.98	15.5	14.8	0.72
Mark Madsen	18	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	9	-11	18.7	16.8	1.85	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Mike James	30	29	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.11	-16	23	-39	17.7	16.9	0.77	12.3	16.3	-4.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orien Greene	2	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	1.5	15.3	-13.83	5.0	17.3	-12.33
Marquis Daniels	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-6	5	11.7	15.3	-3.58	23.0	16.7	6.31
Jeff Foster	53	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-16	25	16.0	13.7	2.30	17.2	17.2	0.06
Shawne Williams	2	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	0.0	15.4	-15.36	5.0	17.3	-12.33
Danny Granger	46	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	14.4	15.6	-1.23	17.2	17.2	0.06
Maceo Baston	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	0	-7	9.9	15.5	-5.64	20.0	16.9	3.09
Al Harrington	63	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-11	15	14.4	16.3	-1.88	17.1	17.3	-0.18
Darrell Armstrong	26	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	0	-7	13.5	15.6	-2.08	18.3	16.8	1.50
Jamaal Tinsley	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	15.6	13.5	2.08	16.8	18.3	-1.50
Stephen Jackson	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-6	5	15.8	11.9	3.95	16.7	19.3	-2.60
Sarunas Jasikevicius	46	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	7	-21	15.8	14.2	1.54	18.0	16.4	1.62
Jermaine O'Neal	65	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	3	-13	15.6	13.5	2.18	16.6	18.7	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
MIL 99, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,0	92.1%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	91.9%