inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 107 Excitement6.6 [467] MVPDavis Bertans (WAS): +28.3%
Washington Wizards 119 Comeback1.0 [1134] LVPRussell Westbrook (WAS): -29.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.07-0.00779%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Tony Bradley0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.04-0.01980%0.172-0.032100%0.01
Ty Jerome0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.030.02679%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Darius Bazley0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.030.021951%0.081-0.021385%0.04
Theo Maledon0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04-0.060.00-0.101544%0.103-0.052100%0.01
Jaylen Hoard0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.012100%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Kenrich Williams0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.011062%0.082-0.07475%-0.00
Justin Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Moses Brown-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.17-0.060.011133%-0.086-0.1620%-0.03

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.190.110.021278%0.2800.003100%0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.170.100.022165%0.291-0.04475%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.080.03974%0.1800.00560%-0.03
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.01693%0.1500.00250%-0.01
Alex Len0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.01390%0.0600.00475%-0.01
Cassius Winston00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raul Neto0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01375%0.043-0.052100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.02420%-0.0100.0020%-0.02
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.031126%-0.0400.0010%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.27-0.05-0.031831%-0.128-0.17633%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.731.514.828.20.727.6131.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +38.1%
OKC -16.6%
WAS +7.6%
WAS +19.0%
WAS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCWASNBAOKCWASNBA
this game13.813.414.4100.9112.3111.3
season14.213.3102.4109.9
opponent14.114.0112.4112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.013.713.014.313.8
WAS10.313.515.215.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Jerome4444-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-162013.713.8-0.1614.212.91.27
Jaylen Hoard3132-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-141613.214.0-0.7516.012.33.75
Tony Bradley4243-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-9614.213.50.6813.913.10.79
Aleksej Pokusevski7067-0.13-0.370.23-0.08-2-10813.115.1-2.0512.914.2-1.29
Justin Robinson2322-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-2-815.113.41.7014.113.20.91
Svi Mykhailiuk5455-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-9614.013.50.5813.912.91.03
Theo Maledon6565-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-2-813.514.2-0.7213.413.5-0.12
Moses Brown4039-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-142-1613.314.0-0.6911.314.7-3.37
Darius Bazley8385-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-11-1-1014.212.02.1913.015.0-1.98
Kenrich Williams7878-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.08-131-1413.813.70.1013.114.4-1.38

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook88870.490.010.470.131201212.816.2-3.3814.012.71.24
Bradley Beal79790.480.020.470.1013-11413.114.3-1.1313.913.40.42
Raul Neto62630.420.080.340.101111013.113.9-0.8413.614.0-0.33
Robin Lopez32310.330.170.170.1666016.012.33.7013.513.8-0.29
Davis Bertans60600.290.210.080.1166013.313.6-0.3014.812.42.45
Deni Avdija60580.250.250.000.1057-214.312.32.0412.615.1-2.54
Alex Len40400.200.30-0.10-0.0075210.815.0-4.1613.613.8-0.21
Ish Smith46470.130.37-0.240.0148-413.913.00.8414.013.50.48
Cassius Winston220.000.50-0.500.00012-1217.513.34.167.513.9-6.38
Daniel Gafford3435-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-113-1414.013.10.9014.113.60.49
Garrison Mathews2728-0.050.55-0.610.03-315-1814.113.20.9813.214.0-0.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 91, CHA 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,194.2%
NYK 76, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,193.7%
NJN 99, WAS 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,193.5%