NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	5.0 [811]		MVP	Cartier Martin (WAS): +13.5%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.0 [980]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -11.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	8	64%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	12	63%	0.09	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.04
Terrence Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.07	17	56%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	8	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	7	76%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	64%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	9	64%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	64%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	18	43%	0.08	5	-0.11	10	100%	0.06
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	59%	0.06	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Cedric Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	35.4	15.7	27.2	2.4	34.5	141.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.2%

WAS +17.9%

WAS +11.2%

WAS +4.3%

NJN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.3	102.1	114.7	106.0
season	15.9	15.7		98.7	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	13.2	13.2	16.2	14.6
WAS	13.7	14.6	17.6	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	27	25	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.11	9	-19	28	14.4	14.7	-0.32	16.1	15.1	1.02
Josh Boone	13	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-10	10	15.5	14.5	1.04	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Courtney Lee	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	14.1	15.1	-1.00	15.4	15.3	0.11
Kris Humphries	45	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.5	13.9	1.63	15.2	15.5	-0.38
Jarvis Hayes	45	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	14.9	14.4	0.55	15.6	15.2	0.38
Chris Douglas-Roberts	52	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-7	4	14.4	14.9	-0.55	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Brook Lopez	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.3	15.7	-1.41	15.8	13.5	2.30
Yi Jianlian	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.19	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Terrence Williams	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	2	-14	15.2	14.0	1.19	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Devin Harris	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.14	-16	6	-22	14.7	14.6	0.07	15.2	15.9	-0.66

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	75	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-6	22	15.1	16.2	-1.05	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Nick Young	70	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-1	12	15.6	14.7	0.88	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Andray Blatche	88	89	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-3	16	15.4	15.6	-0.22	14.8	13.1	1.65
JaVale McGee	31	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	15.3	15.4	-0.16	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Mike Miller	77	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	3	4	15.5	14.8	0.66	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Cartier Martin	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	8	-6	14.8	15.9	-1.10	15.1	14.3	0.83
James Singleton	40	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	14.6	15.9	-1.33	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Fabricio Oberto	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	16.5	14.8	1.70	16.7	13.7	3.03
Cedric Jackson	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	11	-12	13.9	15.6	-1.67	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Earl Boykins	7	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	20.4	15.0	5.46	18.3	14.4	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1	95.6%
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.0%
POR 80, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%