NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	4.6 [858]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +7.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.0 [466]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -17.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	16	46%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	21	45%	-0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	14	33%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	17	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	17	55%	0.07	7	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	17	47%	0.05	6	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	26.2	15.3	22.5	1.7	25.3	114.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.3%

POR -4.9%

PHI +14.1%

POR -1.4%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.6	89.9	109.0	104.4
season	15.5	14.7		105.2	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.6	15.9	16.5	15.8
PHI	16.2	17.1	16.8	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Brown	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-25	33	14.5	16.2	-1.66	18.0	16.2	1.84
Chris Dudley	32	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-17	17	15.7	15.8	-0.15	17.6	16.1	1.55
Gary Trent	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-18	19	15.0	16.5	-1.53	17.4	15.8	1.62
Stacey Augmon	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-13	9	16.6	15.0	1.63	17.5	15.7	1.82
Isaiah Rider	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	15.0	16.6	-1.63	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Arvydas Sabonis	43	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	1	-19	16.1	15.5	0.59	15.8	17.4	-1.61
Clifford Robinson	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	15.3	18.4	-3.05	16.7	15.8	0.93
Rasheed Wallace	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	1	-19	16.6	11.5	5.09	16.0	19.8	-3.83
Kenny Anderson	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.19	-25	8	-33	16.2	14.5	1.66	16.2	18.0	-1.84

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	71	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	-6	29	16.5	17.1	-0.60	15.6	16.6	-0.95
Clar. Weatherspoon	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-1	19	16.1	21.1	-5.00	16.4	10.0	6.36
Allen Iverson	81	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	3	11	16.5	17.5	-1.02	15.4	20.8	-5.41
Scott Williams	49	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.21	21	-4	25	16.2	17.1	-0.91	15.9	15.7	0.19
Derrick Coleman	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	2	13	16.7	16.1	0.64	15.2	18.5	-3.30
Don MacLean	25	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	16	-15	17.7	16.1	1.54	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Mark Davis	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	14	-11	15.7	16.7	-0.95	13.8	16.1	-2.26
Rex Walters	24	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	20	-23	17.2	16.3	0.87	17.7	15.1	2.58
Doug Overton	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	17.0	16.6	0.43	0.0	15.8	-15.79
Michael Cage	29	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	24	-31	17.6	16.1	1.55	16.4	15.5	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	96.3%
SAC 96, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,1	95.6%
DEN 92, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%