NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	4.4 [901]		MVP	Sam Cassell (DAL): +9.4%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.2 [958]		LVP	Oliver Miller (DAL): -11.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.01	0.06	14	74%	0.09	0	0.00	14	100%	0.06
Kevin Gamble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Duane Causwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	18	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	7	111%	0.17	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	11	56%	0.07	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	54%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.4	16.5	30.5	2.3	43.6	146.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.7%

SAC -4.0%

DAL +2.7%

SAC -0.6%

DAL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.6	100.0	106.1	104.4
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.2	13.8	14.0	15.9	15.4
DAL	13.7	15.0	13.7	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Simmons	25	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-11	14	13.4	16.1	-2.74	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Duane Causwell	19	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-8	8	17.1	15.0	2.08	16.5	13.9	2.61
Tyus Edney	31	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-5	2	13.5	16.3	-2.86	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Jeff Grayer	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-14	20	13.7	18.3	-4.52	15.3	12.6	2.74
Corliss Williamson	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	1	-10	15.8	15.1	0.67	13.6	14.9	-1.23
Kevin Gamble	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.0	14.6	-0.66
Michael Smith	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.9	14.6	1.33	14.7	13.7	1.03
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	16.0	13.9	2.18	14.1	14.8	-0.75
Mitch Richmond	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	16.0	13.6	2.40	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Olden Polynice	61	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	6	-20	16.2	13.9	2.36	13.7	15.5	-1.81

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	72	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-5	18	13.7	16.2	-2.50	16.3	12.9	3.33
Jim Jackson	86	85	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	3	2	14.7	11.8	2.83	15.7	12.7	3.00
Eric Montross	39	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-9	26	14.0	14.5	-0.53	18.5	13.3	5.16
Sam Cassell	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-6	20	13.1	15.5	-2.40	16.1	14.7	1.38
A.C. Green	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-3	14	14.1	14.5	-0.39	17.8	14.0	3.78
Michael Finley	62	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	12	-16	14.8	13.5	1.29	14.0	17.5	-3.51
Derek Harper	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	11	-14	14.7	13.9	0.77	14.2	16.7	-2.52
Chris Gatling	61	60	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.46	-11	19	-30	15.4	12.5	2.94	14.5	16.9	-2.45
Oliver Miller	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	10	-12	13.8	14.6	-0.80	11.6	17.5	-5.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	96.2%
POR 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.8%