NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	3.7 [1028]		MVP	Derek Anderson (SAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.1 [1051]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.05	11	85%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	11	40%	-0.05	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	14	70%	0.16	2	-0.03	12	75%	0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	19	45%	0.05	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	30.1	16.6	27.3	2.3	27.6	132.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.4%

SAS +12.4%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +1.8%

POR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	17.9	15.5	98.8	112.6	100.9
season	15.8	15.9		103.9	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		96.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.1	16.0	15.7	15.4
SAS	16.0	17.3	18.3	20.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-12	11	16.1	15.3	0.80	18.6	17.8	0.81
Shawn Kemp	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	13.1	16.1	-2.93	18.5	17.7	0.86
Arvydas Sabonis	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-8	3	16.1	15.3	0.80	15.5	18.3	-2.76
Rod Strickland	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-13	13	14.3	16.1	-1.72	18.1	17.7	0.38
Steven Smith	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-14	15	14.5	17.0	-2.46	18.8	16.1	2.72
Dale Davis	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.3	15.5	-0.29	18.3	17.5	0.80
Damon Stoudamire	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-1	-11	16.4	14.3	2.01	16.2	19.7	-3.54
Scottie Pippen	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	15.7	14.3	1.41	17.7	18.4	-0.65
Bonzi Wells	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	3	-19	15.5	14.9	0.58	18.2	16.6	1.67
Rasheed Wallace	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	2	-17	16.0	11.0	4.97	17.8	18.5	-0.69

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	85	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	0	13	17.8	22.0	-4.21	15.7	3.5	12.18
Derek Anderson	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-3	19	18.0	16.7	1.34	15.5	14.3	1.24
Danny Ferry	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	0	13	17.8	18.0	-0.17	15.9	14.3	1.65
Terry Porter	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	4	5	18.4	17.1	1.31	15.9	14.6	1.29
David Robinson	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	7	-1	18.8	16.9	1.94	16.1	14.6	1.49
Avery Johnson	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	9	-5	17.1	18.4	-1.31	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Samaki Walker	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	6	1	16.3	18.6	-2.30	13.8	16.0	-2.19
Antonio Daniels	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	12	-11	17.7	18.0	-0.26	14.7	15.8	-1.18
Malik Rose	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	17	-21	18.1	17.8	0.27	13.9	16.0	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 98, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 76, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%