NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	6.6 [462]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +46.5%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	1.8 [707]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -19.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.45	0.23	0.30	0.08	14	80%	0.48	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.16
Keyon Dooling	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33	0.16	0.18	0.00	11	91%	0.39	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	14	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.46	0.46	-0.04	0.48	-0.03	9	48%	0.53	3	-0.07	5	40%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3	0.30	0.24	0.10	0.04	18	76%	0.30	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.21	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	26.5	16.5	24.7	2.0	48.0	142.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +35.4%

NJN -5.2%

NOH +4.6%

NOH +9.8%

NOH +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.3	106.5	110.8	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		98.7	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.2	16.9	19.2	14.9	16.2
NOH	14.1	15.0	15.8	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	54	53	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.18	1	-5	6	15.5	17.1	-1.53	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Trenton Hassell	41	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-16	28	17.3	15.3	2.02	15.7	14.1	1.61
Josh Boone	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	17.1	16.0	1.16	14.6	14.8	-0.28
Keyon Dooling	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-14	24	15.3	17.0	-1.70	14.5	15.1	-0.53
Tony Battie	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	3	-10	16.3	16.1	0.17	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Yi Jianlian	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	15.7	17.1	-1.39	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Chris Douglas-Roberts	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	6	-16	16.2	16.1	0.04	15.4	13.9	1.50
Courtney Lee	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	16.8	14.1	2.76	14.8	14.8	0.04
Jarvis Hayes	37	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-5	6	17.8	15.1	2.69	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Devin Harris	70	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	9	-22	15.2	19.2	-4.00	14.3	16.1	-1.78

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	14.4	15.9	-1.50	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Chris Paul	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-3	10	14.8	14.8	0.01	16.3	15.5	0.75
Devin Brown	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	1	2	14.3	15.6	-1.31	15.9	16.5	-0.54
Emeka Okafor	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	2	0	15.0	14.5	0.55	15.8	16.7	-0.93
James Posey	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	7	-10	14.8	14.8	-0.08	15.9	16.5	-0.58
Peja Stojakovic	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-3	10	14.9	14.6	0.30	16.9	15.2	1.69
Marcus Thornton	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	3	-2	15.6	14.3	1.31	16.5	15.9	0.54
Darius Songaila	31	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	2	0	16.3	14.0	2.27	18.6	14.9	3.73
Julian Wright	17	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	6	-8	14.8	14.8	0.02	16.3	16.1	0.14
Darren Collison	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	12	-20	12.7	15.3	-2.58	13.3	16.9	-3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1	95.6%
TOR 97, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 88, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.95,1,0.99,1	95.0%