NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	9.2 [123]		MVP	Frank Jackson (DET): +44.0%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	2.2 [452]		LVP	Josh Jackson (DET): -17.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.02	20	65%	0.26	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Darius Garland	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	19	53%	0.31	3	-0.19	5	60%	-0.05
Taurean Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.14	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.00	13	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dean Wade	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	9	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.44	0.44	0.10	0.29	-0.05	14	61%	0.44	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.07
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.00	12	69%	0.34	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	8	67%	0.21	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.15	-0.17	0.05	12	74%	0.01	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	8	31%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.28,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	16	41%	-0.12	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	27.3	14.7	27.1	1.8	46.2	144.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.9%

CLE -11.3%

DET +30.9%

DET +12.9%

CLE -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.4	105.0	107.9	111.3
season	15.2	15.0		104.5	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	14.0	13.6	15.1	14.4
DET	13.1	14.2	13.5	16.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	41	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.23	-6	2	-8	14.4	14.4	-0.00	12.5	15.3	-2.74
Taurean Prince	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	14.1	14.8	-0.71	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Matthew Dellavedova	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-3	2	13.1	15.0	-1.96	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Collin Sexton	79	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-13	22	14.2	15.3	-1.13	14.5	13.2	1.21
Jarrett Allen	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	6	-16	15.1	13.6	1.48	15.0	13.3	1.72
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	13.7	15.0	-1.30	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Isaac Okoro	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	7	-18	14.8	13.7	1.16	15.6	11.8	3.79
Darius Garland	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.9	13.1	1.87	14.6	13.2	1.36
Kevin Love	59	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.65	2	-6	8	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.9	13.1	1.82

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	65	65	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.17	20	-16	36	14.6	13.6	0.99	14.9	13.6	1.34
Josh Jackson	62	61	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-12	28	14.7	13.5	1.23	14.8	13.8	0.97
Frank Jackson	61	59	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-1	6	13.8	14.8	-0.96	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Saddiq Bey	77	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	-1	6	14.1	14.7	-0.64	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Killian Hayes	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	1	2	15.3	12.2	3.09	15.2	13.1	2.09
Saben Lee	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	1	2	12.5	15.1	-2.59	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Tyler Cook	61	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	10	-16	14.5	13.8	0.65	15.3	13.0	2.32
Hamidou Diallo	43	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	14	-24	13.7	14.6	-0.91	13.6	15.1	-1.48
Jahlil Okafor	36	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.21	-16	20	-36	13.6	14.6	-0.99	13.6	14.9	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.81,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.58,1	90.5%
BOS 86, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	90.3%
GSW 108, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	90.2%