NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	9.6 [89]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (WAS): +37.5%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	2.1 [362]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -39.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.37	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.13,0.37,0.37	0.04	0.33	-0.00	11	64%	0.48	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	2	100%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	8	57%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	78%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
James Michael McAdoo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	20	54%	0.14	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	20	36%	-0.17	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.03	-0.21	0.00	5	40%	-0.09	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.27	0.01	8	78%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.03,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	-0.00	17	58%	0.33	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	17	64%	0.34	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.08
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	12	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	8	67%	0.10	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.39	-0.39	-0.21	-0.24	-0.05	20	30%	-0.27	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	27.4	15.4	30.4	2.0	35.2	141.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -1.5%

WAS +15.5%

WAS +16.6%

WAS +15.1%

WAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.8	105.9	108.7	107.7
season	13.5	14.4		114.9	109.9
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	13.3	14.6	14.5	13.8
WAS	11.3	14.9	16.0	15.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick McCaw	52	52	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.33	-3	-1	-2	14.5	13.2	1.34	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Ian Clark	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-9	14	11.0	14.0	-2.99	12.4	14.3	-1.95
James Michael McAdoo	27	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-10	16	13.1	14.1	-0.95	12.7	14.8	-2.04
David West	25	27	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-8	12	12.9	14.2	-1.28	17.4	13.1	4.23
Kevin Durant	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-1	-2	13.7	13.8	-0.10	11.0	14.4	-3.38
Zaza Pachulia	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	2	-8	14.9	13.2	1.67	13.3	14.9	-1.60
JaVale McGee	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	2	-8	15.5	13.7	1.76	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Shaun Livingston	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	12.8	14.8	-2.00	16.3	12.3	3.94
Andre Iguodala	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.53	1	-5	6	13.1	15.2	-2.10	15.2	12.6	2.61
Stephen Curry	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	1	-6	14.1	13.2	0.94	13.4	16.4	-2.99
Draymond Green	85	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.52	0	-4	4	14.0	12.9	1.15	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Klay Thompson	79	80	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.36	-17	13	-30	14.3	12.2	2.16	14.3	13.9	0.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	83	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-7	18	14.2	14.4	-0.25	14.1	12.8	1.30
Markieff Morris	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-3	10	13.7	15.4	-1.63	14.1	13.3	0.73
Otto Porter Jr.	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	13.8	15.7	-1.80	14.0	13.1	0.88
Marcin Gortat	49	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	-3	10	13.3	15.1	-1.80	14.8	13.0	1.79
John Wall	87	86	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	3	-2	13.4	18.9	-5.47	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	3	-2	15.9	13.4	2.52	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Ian Mahinmi	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	4	-4	15.1	13.8	1.28	13.3	14.1	-0.87
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	9	-14	15.9	12.7	3.18	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Tomas Satoransky	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	11	-18	15.2	14.0	1.19	13.0	14.1	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.42,1	90.1%
UTA 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,1	89.9%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.7%