NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	8.0 [267]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): +28.7%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	2.9 [401]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -23.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.06	0.04	13	79%	0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	19	48%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Axel Toupane	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mamadi Diakite	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	16	41%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.05	-0.00	27	26%	-0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.01	20	62%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	20	60%	0.25	4	-0.13	5	40%	-0.06
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Hinton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.05	0.05	8	75%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.09	0.04	16	41%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	23.3	15.4	26.6	1.8	34.4	130.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

MIL -10.8%

DAL +15.2%

MIL -6.7%

MIL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	12.9	15.7	14.4	101.0	114.9	111.3
season	13.5	15.0		114.8	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	13.1	13.4	12.2	12.9
DAL	15.2	16.9	14.8	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	37	37	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-19	23	13.6	12.6	1.00	15.9	15.6	0.34
Pat Connaughton	47	49	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.26	13	-28	41	11.4	14.3	-2.94	15.5	15.9	-0.33
Axel Toupane	4	5	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.13	-1	-14	13	10.5	13.0	-2.54	17.2	15.6	1.57
Bryn Forbes	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-18	21	12.2	13.3	-1.15	16.6	15.2	1.39
Mamadi Diakite	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	9.3	13.1	-3.72	18.7	15.6	3.05
Jeff Teague	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-10	5	12.8	13.0	-0.27	16.0	15.5	0.49
Donte DiVincenzo	63	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-4	-7	12.9	13.0	-0.10	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Bobby Portis	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	2	-19	14.0	10.0	3.92	15.3	16.7	-1.34
Brook Lopez	64	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	-4	-7	12.8	13.2	-0.44	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Khris Middleton	73	74	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.11	-24	9	-33	13.1	12.6	0.43	15.9	15.2	0.71
Jrue Holiday	70	70	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.23	-24	9	-33	13.4	11.9	1.44	15.4	16.4	-0.94

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	69	70	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.21	26	-11	37	16.4	14.2	2.22	13.0	12.8	0.20
Dorian Finney-Smith	75	74	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.16	25	-10	35	16.0	14.9	1.05	13.1	12.5	0.65
Kristaps Porzingis	69	69	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-2	19	15.8	15.5	0.34	12.9	13.0	-0.04
Luka Doncic	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-3	21	15.4	16.8	-1.43	13.1	12.5	0.56
Maxi Kleber	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	2	11	15.2	17.0	-1.82	13.2	12.1	1.14
Nicolo Melli	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	16.9	15.5	1.42	13.2	12.9	0.33
Josh Green	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.0	15.7	2.34	9.0	13.0	-3.98
Nate Hinton	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.0	15.7	2.34	9.0	13.0	-3.98
Dwight Powell	32	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.15	-2	17	-19	15.5	15.8	-0.34	13.0	12.9	0.04
Jalen Brunson	46	45	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.13	-8	23	-31	15.0	16.3	-1.25	12.7	13.1	-0.42
Tim Hardaway Jr.	43	45	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.00	-14	29	-43	15.6	15.8	-0.13	12.2	13.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
MIA 102, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.9,0.99,1,1	92.0%
CLE 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.8%