NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	139		Excitement	11.0 [32]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): +29.2%
San Antonio Spurs	133		Comeback	5.3 [133]		LVP	Caris LeVert (IND): -17.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.29	0.08	0.21	-0.01	14	64%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.00	11	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelan Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Doug McDermott	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	0.03	-0.19	0.02	19	60%	0.11	5	-0.29	5	80%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.07	0.02	10	80%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.02	12	52%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.04
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	17	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	-0.00	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.12	3	67%	0.03
Luka Samanic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	12	64%	0.08	5	-0.13	15	87%	-0.07
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.14	0.00	13	62%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	0.6	28.6	14.4	28.6	2.4	31.1	0.6	11.6	144.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +65.6%

SAS -8.9%

SAS -27.0%

IND +15.8%

IND +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	12.8	15.5	14.4	123.0	118.8	111.3
season	13.6	14.6		111.5	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.3	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	11.4	12.3	11.7	15.9	13.7	12.8
SAS	15.3	17.7	13.6	16.1	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	72	71	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.24	21	-15	36	12.6	13.2	-0.62	15.9	14.9	1.02
JaKarr Sampson	37	37	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.12	22	-16	38	11.5	13.4	-1.92	17.0	14.7	2.28
Goga Bitadze	29	30	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-13	32	11.9	13.1	-1.19	18.2	14.5	3.64
Aaron Holiday	47	46	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.06	23	-17	40	11.7	13.6	-1.92	17.0	14.5	2.47
Kelan Martin	27	28	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-9	24	12.7	12.8	-0.15	18.6	14.5	4.10
Justin Holiday	64	62	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	13	-20	13.4	11.9	1.48	14.7	16.5	-1.84
Edmond Sumner	65	64	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.24	-14	20	-34	13.6	11.7	1.82	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Myles Turner	84	82	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	19	-32	13.1	11.9	1.19	14.5	18.2	-3.64
Caris LeVert	81	80	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.22	-18	24	-42	13.2	11.7	1.52	14.9	17.1	-2.19

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	67	65	0.61	-1.11	1.72	-0.01	21	-27	48	15.3	15.8	-0.58	13.8	11.5	2.30
Jakob Poeltl	83	86	0.47	-0.97	1.44	-0.03	17	-23	40	15.1	16.6	-1.42	13.3	11.2	2.05
Keldon Johnson	66	64	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.27	14	-20	34	15.5	15.5	-0.07	13.2	12.2	0.94
DeMar DeRozan	80	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-7	8	14.5	18.1	-3.59	12.6	13.3	-0.75
Luka Samanic	19	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	8	-22	16.9	15.2	1.68	10.2	13.3	-3.09
Devin Vassell	41	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.06	-23	17	-40	16.0	15.2	0.83	11.0	13.8	-2.83
Rudy Gay	51	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	10	-26	15.2	15.8	-0.63	12.8	12.8	0.05
Dejounte Murray	71	72	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	1	-8	16.4	14.0	2.44	13.3	11.9	1.34
Patty Mills	72	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.21	-17	11	-28	16.1	14.4	1.63	12.2	13.7	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.84,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.32,0.04,0	86.8%
POR 111, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.46,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.27,0	86.8%
HOU 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0	86.7%