inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 111 Excitement10.7 [40] MVPTravis Outlaw (POR): +49.2%
Atlanta Hawks 109 Comeback2.8 [381] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -41.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0.490,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.09,0.22,0.490.080.420.001464%0.612-0.12862%0.02
Sergio Rodriguez0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.160.13-0.007100%0.3000.002100%0.02
James Jones0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.05-0.00771%0.1200.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.002100%0.1000.003100%0.01
Martell Webster0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.001045%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.030.002100%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Steve Blake-0.000,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.01-0.03844%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Channing Frye-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.070.00845%-0.061-0.02475%-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.011231%-0.1300.002100%0.01
Brandon Roy-0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.08-0.12-0.012238%-0.062-0.12367%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.190.070.017100%0.2600.004100%0.02
Joe Johnson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.180.180.160.040.022659%0.1800.001182%0.11
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,0.080.08-0.090.15-0.011337%0.162-0.07475%0.07
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.01487%0.0800.0000%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01865%0.214-0.191100%0.02
Mario West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01739%-0.031-0.02475%0.01
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.33,-0.42-0.42-0.07-0.340.001542%-0.303-0.111090%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.62.029.014.827.12.432.61.820.4157.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +91.6%
ATL -40.6%
ATL -7.2%
POR +1.2%
POR +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORATLNBAPORATLNBA
this game18.315.215.4118.1113.5105.7
season16.715.4105.5104.2
opponent15.715.4107.2106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
POR17.417.118.419.421.018.3
ATL14.715.615.914.216.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye49480.77-0.271.030.4710-81816.520.3-3.7815.315.10.12
Travis Outlaw62640.72-0.220.940.3712-102218.118.7-0.5414.716.2-1.42
Sergio Rodriguez30290.54-0.040.580.1314-122617.218.8-1.5616.214.81.48
James Jones43440.220.28-0.05-0.1312-102218.218.4-0.1614.915.4-0.51
Brandon Roy71730.200.30-0.090.50-1012-2219.514.64.9414.716.9-2.24
Steve Blake58580.130.37-0.24-0.015-3817.819.1-1.3215.414.80.61
Jarrett Jack29320.120.38-0.250.27-57-1217.418.7-1.2315.115.3-0.22
Joel Przybilla3132-0.110.61-0.720.07-68-1419.217.91.2915.914.91.05
Martell Webster4344-0.220.72-0.950.13-1214-2617.918.6-0.7615.215.20.08
LaMarcus Aldridge4648-0.380.88-1.25-0.03-1214-2619.916.83.1215.315.10.21

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford69680.19-0.690.870.074-61015.514.41.1119.016.32.70
Acie Law35340.11-0.610.72-0.045-71216.514.52.0618.118.4-0.33
Zaza Pachulia2018-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-1013.915.6-1.6514.119.3-5.25
Mario West11-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.30-20-20.015.4-15.3719.018.30.71
Joe Johnson8886-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.546-81415.412.72.6818.812.95.93
Marvin Williams7071-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.36-31-415.614.21.3418.418.00.45
Tyronn Lue4645-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.22-86-1414.715.7-1.0317.519.0-1.55
Josh Smith8583-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-20-215.016.5-1.4118.715.33.43
Josh Childress6664-0.610.11-0.72-0.35-97-1614.716.3-1.5918.018.8-0.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.46,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 118, CLE 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.42,090.1%
NYK 94, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.38,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.42,089.0%
SAS 85, ORL 830.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,088.4%