NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	122		Excitement	7.7 [312]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +24.9%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	2.6 [509]		LVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): -10.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.22,0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.02	18	57%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	9	84%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	5	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	9	67%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	21	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	4	92%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.00	8	86%	0.17	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	19	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	15	56%	0.10	7	-0.21	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	27.4	14.5	27.3	2.4	43.9	144.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.4%

TOR -3.4%

POR +9.4%

POR +19.2%

POR +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.4	122.0	119.4	111.3
season	14.9	14.2		116.9	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	13.3	13.9	15.3	14.2
TOR	14.4	14.3	17.4	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Carmelo Anthony	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-6	17	14.2	14.2	0.03	15.0	14.7	0.33
CJ McCollum	83	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	1	3	14.1	14.8	-0.72	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Damian Lillard	81	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.39	-2	7	-9	13.9	15.7	-1.80	14.4	16.8	-2.43
Anfernee Simons	24	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	0	5	15.5	13.8	1.62	17.2	14.1	3.05
Jusuf Nurkic	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-3	11	15.3	13.5	1.74	14.4	15.2	-0.71
Enes Kanter	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.25	-5	10	-15	14.7	14.0	0.72	16.9	13.8	3.12
Derrick Jones Jr.	45	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	13	-21	13.8	14.6	-0.86	16.0	14.1	1.91

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-4	3	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.7	14.1	0.60
Chris Boucher	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	16.0	13.9	2.05	14.8	13.7	1.10
Malachi Flynn	21	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	5	-15	15.7	14.6	1.02	15.9	13.8	2.15
Pascal Siakam	80	83	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	14.7	15.4	-0.71	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Fred VanVleet	77	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-10	15	14.6	15.7	-1.02	13.8	15.9	-2.15
Gary Trent Jr.	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	4	-13	14.4	15.6	-1.16	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Rodney Hood	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.8	0.07	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Stanley Johnson	41	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	3	-11	14.4	15.2	-0.74	14.8	13.8	1.07
OG Anunoby	80	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	14.5	16.6	-2.14	14.1	14.6	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.04,0	92.9%
BKN 104, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.09,0	92.4%
LAC 101, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.4%