NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	8.0 [270]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +54.8%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.4 [382]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAS): -25.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.55	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.48,0.55	0.11	0.44	-0.00	17	55%	0.55	0	0.00	10	90%	0.09
Cody Martin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.00	3	86%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	19	61%	0.25	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.07
Bismack Biyombo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	79%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	15	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	14	33%	-0.06	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.44	0.44	0.20	0.25	0.01	16	72%	0.44	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.20	0.01	11	87%	0.40	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	41%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	11	43%	-0.05	4	-0.20	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.3	24.7	15.0	28.8	0.6	41.6	144.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +14.2%

CHA +17.3%

CHA +11.9%

CHA +10.1%

SAS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAS	NBA	CHA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	14.4	106.4	104.3	111.3
season	14.2	14.6		109.4	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.3	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	16.3	16.0	15.7	15.8
SAS	14.1	15.0	16.8	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	71	73	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-13	29	16.2	14.6	1.63	15.8	12.0	3.82
Gordon Hayward	73	72	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.35	13	-10	23	15.2	17.8	-2.59	14.9	15.3	-0.37
P.J. Washington	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-2	7	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.2	13.8	1.43
Miles Bridges	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	14.8	17.4	-2.60	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Bismack Biyombo	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	2	-1	17.0	14.7	2.30	15.7	14.4	1.34
Devonte' Graham	61	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	12	-21	15.4	16.5	-1.01	14.1	16.5	-2.45
Malik Monk	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	2	-1	16.5	15.0	1.47	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Cody Martin	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	14	-25	16.3	15.6	0.73	15.4	14.8	0.62

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	19	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-10	17	12.7	15.6	-2.91	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Keldon Johnson	60	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-5	7	15.8	13.5	2.30	15.7	16.1	-0.45
Drew Eubanks	5	4	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	6	-15	17.0	14.9	2.11	12.5	15.9	-3.44
Jakob Poeltl	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	15.2	14.8	0.43	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Dejounte Murray	64	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-9	15	14.8	15.5	-0.70	16.6	13.9	2.75
Rudy Gay	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-5	7	14.9	15.2	-0.30	16.0	15.6	0.34
Derrick White	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-11	19	15.5	13.6	1.92	16.6	13.8	2.75
Patty Mills	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.0	17.2	-3.16	16.1	15.3	0.81
Lonnie Walker IV	19	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	12	-27	15.3	14.9	0.33	12.1	16.7	-4.69
DeMar DeRozan	68	68	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	9	-21	15.3	14.3	0.98	15.6	16.3	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.27,0.46,0.16,0.17,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	93.1%
LAL 91, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0	91.7%
SAC 107, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.23,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.19,0.11,0,0	91.6%