NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	6.6 [507]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +32.0%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	1.3 [837]		LVP	David West (NOH): -14.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.32	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.09	0.02	17	79%	0.35	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.10	0.03	22	62%	0.26	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Shannon Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	-0.01	11	87%	0.39	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	16	50%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	30.7	17.8	23.8	1.8	33.2	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +4.2%

LAL +20.8%

NOH -3.4%

LAL +26.7%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.5	117.4	111.8	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		108.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	16.5	17.1	15.8	16.5
NOH	16.2	16.3	17.1	19.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	77	77	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-5	16	16.5	16.2	0.30	17.2	17.0	0.22
Andrew Bynum	50	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-8	22	17.2	15.4	1.80	17.9	16.2	1.69
Derek Fisher	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	0	6	16.6	16.4	0.19	16.7	18.2	-1.48
Metta World Peace	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	2	2	16.2	17.4	-1.23	16.2	20.0	-3.78
Pau Gasol	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	4	-2	16.3	17.1	-0.87	16.8	18.5	-1.70
Lamar Odom	57	57	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	10	-14	16.1	17.3	-1.24	17.0	17.5	-0.50
Steve Blake	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	6	-6	16.4	16.6	-0.19	18.2	16.7	1.48
Shannon Brown	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	17.1	16.1	0.91	19.2	16.1	3.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	44	47	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.01	7	-13	20	17.3	17.1	0.20	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Willie Green	32	31	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-8	10	17.7	16.9	0.73	17.4	16.0	1.46
Sasha Pavlovic	20	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-7	8	15.9	17.6	-1.63	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Jarrett Jack	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-5	4	18.2	16.9	1.23	19.1	15.8	3.32
DJ Mbenga	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	17.5	17.0	0.42	16.4	16.6	-0.18
David Andersen	36	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-11	16	15.6	18.4	-2.85	17.6	15.6	2.04
Marco Belinelli	43	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-5	4	17.1	17.3	-0.17	16.1	16.9	-0.74
Quincy Pondexter	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	17.3	17.2	0.16	17.0	16.2	0.80
Marcus Thornton	38	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-3	0	17.6	16.9	0.73	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Chris Paul	78	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	2	-10	16.9	20.3	-3.36	16.4	17.8	-1.45
David West	57	56	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.25	-18	12	-30	18.0	15.5	2.48	16.0	17.4	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.04,0	92.7%
MIA 98, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.03,0	92.7%
NJN 100, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.6%